MSTR @ $96.19

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-80.8%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,143 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $105 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.19 / mid $1.20 · $357 this cycle
9.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$1,530
Annualized
65%
EV / cycle
+$206
If assigned
-$118,143
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.33/share ($999 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $107.07.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$105.0014d+$1.99$1.72 to $2.4168%52%
Up And Out$109.8114d+$0.00$-0.51 to $0.2475%67%
Ss Escape$128.8142d+$0.20$-0.70 to $0.5285%83%
Safety Up$138.8142d-$1.11$-2.24 to $-0.9190%89%
Reliable Up$123.8142d+$1.06$0.30 to $1.4582%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $116 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,131 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $116 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.29 · $69 this cycle
20.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$296
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$55
If assigned
-$115,131
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.96/share ($1,188 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $118.51.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$116.0014d+$2.38$2.46 to $3.3968%53%
Up And Out$121.8114d+$0.03$-0.30 to $0.7975%67%
Ss Escape$144.8142d+$0.23$-0.35 to $1.3185%83%
Reliable Up$139.8142d+$1.14$0.65 to $2.2783%80%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $119,292 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $100 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $2.36 / mid $2.43 · $708 this cycle
4.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$3,034
Annualized
128%
EV / cycle
+$257
If assigned
-$119,292
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.06/share ($919 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $102.16.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$100.0014d+$1.83$1.42 to $1.8968%52%
Up And Out$103.8114d+$0.25$-0.40 to $0.0974%65%
Ss Escape$118.8142d+$0.64$-0.55 to $0.3683%80%
Safety Up$133.8142d-$1.32$-2.98 to $-1.8291%90%
Reliable Up$113.8142d+$1.72$0.71 to $1.5080%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,169 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $120 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $2.77 / mid $2.85 · $831 this cycle
24.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$594
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
+$402
If assigned
-$113,169
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $109,092 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $135 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $1.36 / mid $1.42 · $408 this cycle
40.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$291
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$254
If assigned
-$109,092
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,495 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $103 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $5.35 / mid $5.75 · $1,605 this cycle
7.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$1,376
Annualized
58%
EV / cycle
+$409
If assigned
-$117,495
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.09/share ($2,128 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $105.26.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$103.0042d+$1.02$0.61 to $0.8469%54%
Ss Escape$101.8142d+$1.55$1.15 to $1.4068%51%
Safety Up$126.8142d-$5.33$-7.21 to $-6.2389%88%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-07 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.