MSTR @ $141.89

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-71.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $158 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,168 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $158 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.94 / mid $2.01 · $582 this cycle

11.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,494

Annualized

71%

EV / cycle

+$334

If assigned

-$102,168

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.49/share ($1,646 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $161.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$157.50	14d	+$3.49	$3.25 to $4.25	69%	53%
Up And Out	$165.61	14d	+$0.41	$-0.41 to $0.82	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$200.61	42d	+$0.27	$-1.27 to $0.84	86%	84%
Safety Up	$215.61	42d	-$1.34	$-3.17 to $-0.95	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$195.61	42d	+$1.10	$-0.29 to $1.72	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,880 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.44 · $120 this cycle

26.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$514

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$101

If assigned

-$95,880

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.89/share ($2,068 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	14d	+$4.40	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$188.11	14d	+$1.29	-	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$258.11	42d	+$0.77	-	94%	92%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $147 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $104,625 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $147 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $4.25 / mid $4.38 · $1,275 this cycle

3.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$5,464

Annualized

156%

EV / cycle

+$453

If assigned

-$104,625

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.88/share ($1,465 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $150.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$147.00	14d	+$3.10	$2.47 to $3.10	69%	52%
Up And Out	$155.11	14d	+$0.05	$-1.16 to $-0.36	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$185.11	42d	+$0.20	$-1.98 to $-0.50	86%	84%
Safety Up	$200.11	42d	-$1.55	$-4.17 to $-2.37	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$175.11	42d	+$1.73	$-0.15 to $1.19	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $4.30 / mid $4.65 · $1,290 this cycle

23.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,106

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$603

If assigned

-$96,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.22/share ($4,267 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $178.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	42d	+$1.99	$1.52 to $2.60	70%	54%
Up And Out	$178.11	42d	+$0.65	$0.10 to $1.10	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$178.11	42d	+$0.65	$0.10 to $1.10	71%	58%
Safety Up	$188.11	42d	-$2.93	$-3.78 to $-2.77	76%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $205 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $87,738 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $205 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $2.54 / mid $2.64 · $762 this cycle

44.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$544

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$633

If assigned

-$87,738

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,905 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $8.65 / mid $8.88 · $2,595 this cycle

9.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$2,224

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$891

If assigned

-$100,905

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.55/share ($3,466 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $158.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	42d	+$1.63	$0.98 to $1.47	69%	54%
Up And Out	$158.11	42d	+$0.28	$-0.43 to $0.00	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$158.11	42d	+$0.28	$-0.43 to $0.00	71%	58%
Safety Up	$193.11	42d	-$8.12	$-10.65 to $-9.20	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-04 03:17 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.