MSTR @ $138.51

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-72.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $152 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $103,638 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $152 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $2.04 / mid $2.16 · $612 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,623

Annualized

77%

EV / cycle

+$352

If assigned

-$103,638

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.65/share ($1,695 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $155.83.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$152.50	14d	+$3.53	$3.12 to $4.34	70%	53%
Up And Out	$158.99	14d	+$0.74	$-0.16 to $1.31	75%	65%
Ss Escape	$188.99	42d	+$0.53	$-1.15 to $1.33	85%	82%
Safety Up	$208.99	42d	-$1.88	$-3.98 to $-1.19	91%	89%
Reliable Up	$178.99	42d	+$2.49	$1.12 to $3.38	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,392 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.39 · $108 this cycle

26.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$463

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$88

If assigned

-$97,392

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.17/share ($2,150 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	14d	+$4.46	-	70%	53%
Up And Out	$181.49	14d	+$1.65	-	74%	63%
Ss Escape	$226.49	42d	+$0.23	-	86%	84%
Safety Up	$231.49	42d	-$0.28	-	88%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $143 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $105,765 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $143 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $4.45 / mid $4.60 · $1,335 this cycle

3.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$5,721

Annualized

168%

EV / cycle

+$530

If assigned

-$105,765

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.06/share ($1,519 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $146.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$143.00	14d	+$3.17	$2.42 to $3.00	70%	52%
Up And Out	$149.49	14d	+$0.40	$-0.90 to $-0.04	76%	66%
Ss Escape	$174.49	42d	+$0.57	$-1.79 to $-0.20	85%	82%
Safety Up	$194.49	42d	-$1.98	$-5.03 to $-2.93	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$164.49	42d	+$2.65	$0.72 to $2.05	81%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,785 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $4.05 / mid $4.55 · $1,215 this cycle

22.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,041

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$562

If assigned

-$97,785

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.41/share ($4,322 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $174.09.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	42d	+$1.77	$1.27 to $2.58	70%	54%
Up And Out	$171.49	42d	+$1.09	$0.57 to $1.84	71%	56%
Ss Escape	$171.49	42d	+$1.09	$0.57 to $1.84	71%	56%
Safety Up	$181.49	42d	-$2.82	$-3.68 to $-2.50	76%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.60 / mid $1.86 · $480 this cycle

44.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$411

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$308

If assigned

-$89,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $19.12/share ($5,737 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $204.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	42d	+$2.34	$2.59 to $5.24	71%	55%
Up And Out	$201.49	42d	+$1.69	$1.90 to $4.50	71%	56%
Ss Escape	$201.49	42d	+$1.69	$1.90 to $4.50	71%	56%
Safety Up	$206.49	42d	-$0.46	$-0.48 to $1.97	73%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $149 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,630 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $149 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $8.90 / mid $9.50 · $2,670 this cycle

7.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,289

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$851

If assigned

-$102,630

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.49/share ($3,448 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $152.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$149.00	42d	+$1.41	$0.67 to $1.11	70%	54%
Up And Out	$150.49	42d	+$0.72	$-0.04 to $0.38	71%	56%
Ss Escape	$150.49	42d	+$0.72	$-0.04 to $0.38	71%	56%
Safety Up	$185.49	42d	-$8.42	$-11.27 to $-9.74	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-04 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.