MSTR @ $138.62

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-72.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $101,496 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $1.68 / mid $1.77 · $504 this cycle

15.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$1,680

Annualized

49%

EV / cycle

+$235

If assigned

-$101,496

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.33/share ($1,898 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $164.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	16d	+$2.95	$2.78 to $3.99	67%	53%
Up And Out	$167.38	16d	+$0.24	$-0.47 to $0.87	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$196.38	44d	+$0.25	$-1.12 to $1.17	83%	80%
Safety Up	$206.38	37d	-$1.65	$-3.28 to $-0.98	87%	86%
Reliable Up	$191.38	44d	+$1.60	$0.53 to $2.67	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,368 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.49 · $132 this cycle

33.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$440

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$99

If assigned

-$94,368

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.05/share ($2,415 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	16d	+$3.81	-	67%	53%
Up And Out	$195.38	16d	+$0.13	-	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$236.38	44d	+$0.12	-	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $105,165 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $145 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $4.45 / mid $4.58 · $1,335 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,450

Annualized

130%

EV / cycle

+$335

If assigned

-$105,165

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.39/share ($1,616 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $148.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$145.00	16d	+$2.49	$1.81 to $2.39	67%	53%
Up And Out	$151.38	16d	+$0.10	$-0.92 to $-0.24	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$176.38	44d	+$0.31	$-1.67 to $-0.33	84%	81%
Safety Up	$201.38	44d	-$2.70	$-5.55 to $-3.69	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$161.38	44d	+$2.86	$1.29 to $2.46	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,920 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $3.60 / mid $3.90 · $1,080 this cycle

22.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,080

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$504

If assigned

-$97,920

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.68/share ($3,805 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $173.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	37d	+$1.58	$1.06 to $2.46	69%	54%
Up And Out	$171.38	37d	+$0.97	$0.40 to $1.78	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$176.38	44d	+$0.18	$-0.83 to $1.28	71%	61%
Safety Up	$186.38	44d	-$2.93	$-4.26 to $-2.11	76%	69%
Reliable Up	$175.38	44d	+$1.07	$0.21 to $2.20	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $205 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $87,969 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $205 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $1.77 / mid $1.88 · $531 this cycle

47.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$431

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$322

If assigned

-$87,969

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $18.57/share ($5,572 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 27 at spot $210.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$205.00	44d	+$1.74	$2.00 to $4.15	69%	55%
Up And Out	$207.38	44d	+$0.35	$0.44 to $2.61	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$207.38	44d	+$0.35	$0.44 to $2.61	69%	57%
Safety Up	$210.38	44d	-$0.10	$-0.08 to $1.90	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $149 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $149 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $7.80 / mid $8.32 · $2,340 this cycle

7.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,340

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$659

If assigned

-$102,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.14/share ($3,041 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $152.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$149.00	37d	+$1.28	$0.48 to $0.98	68%	54%
Up And Out	$150.38	37d	+$0.66	$-0.18 to $0.32	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$154.38	44d	+$0.43	$-0.87 to $-0.11	72%	61%
Safety Up	$195.38	44d	-$7.71	$-10.99 to $-9.24	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$150.38	44d	+$2.10	$0.93 to $1.68	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-09 21:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.