MSTR @ $133.70

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-73.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $150 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $104,424 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $150 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.92 / mid $1.95 · $576 this cycle

12.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,160

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$325

If assigned

-$104,424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.60/share ($1,679 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $153.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$150.00	15d	+$2.83	$2.51 to $3.65	68%	53%
Up And Out	$157.30	15d	+$0.06	$-0.73 to $0.57	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$186.30	43d	+$0.04	$-1.45 to $0.75	85%	82%
Safety Up	$186.30	29d	-$1.82	$-3.25 to $-1.32	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$176.30	43d	+$1.89	$0.71 to $2.79	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,392 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.39 · $108 this cycle

30.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$405

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$90

If assigned

-$97,392

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.29/share ($2,187 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	15d	+$3.71	-	68%	53%
Up And Out	$185.30	15d	+$0.08	-	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$221.30	43d	+$0.49	-	84%	82%
Safety Up	$216.30	29d	-$0.15	-	88%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,815 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $140 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.95 / mid $4.05 · $1,185 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$4,444

Annualized

135%

EV / cycle

+$446

If assigned

-$106,815

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.98/share ($1,495 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $143.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	15d	+$2.51	$1.83 to $2.49	68%	53%
Up And Out	$146.30	15d	+$0.10	$-0.95 to $-0.19	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$166.30	43d	+$1.01	$-0.85 to $0.53	82%	79%
Safety Up	$191.30	43d	-$2.26	$-4.92 to $-3.07	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$156.30	43d	+$3.32	$1.83 to $3.02	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,270 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $4.10 / mid $4.25 · $1,230 this cycle

23.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,025

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$583

If assigned

-$99,270

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.08/share ($3,924 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $168.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	43d	-$0.57	$-1.66 to $0.12	67%	54%
Up And Out	$167.30	43d	+$0.20	$-0.45 to $0.73	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$167.30	43d	+$0.20	$-0.45 to $0.73	70%	57%
Safety Up	$181.30	43d	-$4.10	$-5.07 to $-3.96	77%	70%
Reliable Up	$166.30	43d	+$1.26	$0.84 to $1.85	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $190 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,442 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $190 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.86 / mid $2.18 · $558 this cycle

42.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$465

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$344

If assigned

-$92,442

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.72/share ($5,015 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $194.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$190.00	43d	-$0.74	$-1.10 to $1.61	67%	55%
Up And Out	$194.30	43d	+$0.20	$0.03 to $1.85	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$194.30	43d	+$0.20	$0.03 to $1.85	71%	58%
Safety Up	$198.30	43d	-$1.25	$-1.51 to $0.26	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $104,085 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $145 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $8.05 / mid $8.43 · $2,415 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,012

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$700

If assigned

-$104,085

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.48/share ($3,145 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $148.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$145.00	43d	-$0.46	$-1.81 to $-1.01	67%	54%
Up And Out	$146.30	43d	+$0.90	$0.32 to $0.70	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$146.30	43d	+$0.90	$0.32 to $0.70	70%	56%
Safety Up	$181.30	43d	-$7.75	$-10.34 to $-8.95	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.