MSTR @ $129.54

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-74.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $144 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,245 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $144 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.85 / mid $1.94 · $555 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,081

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$285

If assigned

-$106,245

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.46/share ($1,637 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $147.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$144.00	15d	+$2.54	$2.19 to $3.37	68%	53%
Up And Out	$149.46	15d	+$0.28	$-0.41 to $0.92	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$169.46	36d	+$0.53	$-0.63 to $1.40	83%	79%
Safety Up	$184.46	36d	-$1.72	$-3.29 to $-1.04	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$162.46	43d	+$1.17	$-0.11 to $2.14	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,392 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.40 · $108 this cycle

27.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$405

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$82

If assigned

-$100,392

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.90/share ($2,069 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	15d	+$3.24	-	68%	53%
Up And Out	$172.46	15d	+$0.18	-	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$200.46	36d	+$0.25	-	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $108,330 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $135 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.90 / mid $4.00 · $1,170 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,388

Annualized

137%

EV / cycle

+$426

If assigned

-$108,330

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.89/share ($1,467 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $137.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	15d	+$2.27	$1.54 to $2.21	68%	53%
Up And Out	$140.46	15d	+$0.02	$-1.09 to $-0.30	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$160.46	43d	+$0.44	$-1.56 to $-0.11	82%	79%
Safety Up	$180.46	36d	-$2.57	$-5.16 to $-3.41	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$150.46	43d	+$2.32	$0.59 to $1.86	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,815 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $3.95 / mid $4.05 · $1,185 this cycle

23.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$988

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$600

If assigned

-$100,815

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.80/share ($3,840 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $163.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	43d	+$0.04	$-0.81 to $0.95	68%	54%
Up And Out	$160.46	43d	+$0.99	$0.42 to $1.78	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$160.46	43d	+$0.99	$0.42 to $1.78	69%	55%
Safety Up	$170.46	43d	-$3.61	$-4.72 to $-3.03	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,005 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.65 / mid $1.73 · $495 this cycle

42.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$412

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$318

If assigned

-$94,005

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.51/share ($4,954 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $188.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	43d	+$0.01	$-0.00 to $2.72	68%	55%
Up And Out	$185.46	43d	+$1.29	$1.44 to $3.71	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$185.46	43d	+$1.29	$1.44 to $3.71	69%	55%
Safety Up	$190.46	43d	-$1.35	$-1.46 to $0.91	71%	60%
Reliable Up	$186.46	43d	-$0.46	$-0.50 to $2.16	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $105,525 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $140 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $8.25 / mid $8.40 · $2,475 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,062

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$830

If assigned

-$105,525

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.16/share ($3,049 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $143.09.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	43d	+$0.06	$-1.11 to $-0.44	67%	54%
Up And Out	$140.46	43d	+$0.77	$-0.02 to $0.43	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$140.46	43d	+$0.77	$-0.02 to $0.43	69%	55%
Safety Up	$170.46	43d	-$7.47	$-10.21 to $-8.73	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 21:54 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.