MSTR @ $129.18

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-74.2%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $142 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,872 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $142 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.76 / mid $1.82 · $528 this cycle
9.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$2,263
Annualized
71%
EV / cycle
+$284
If assigned
-$106,872
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.70/share ($1,410 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $145.06.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$142.0014d+$2.44$2.01 to $3.0468%52%
Up And Out$147.8214d+$0.42$-0.32 to $0.8274%65%
Ss Escape$167.8235d+$0.62$-0.63 to $1.1383%79%
Safety Up$182.8235d-$1.17$-2.55 to $-0.7291%89%
Reliable Up$160.8242d+$1.84$0.64 to $2.4478%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,407 (premium included).
Called-away odds3%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $165 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.34 · $93 this cycle
27.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
97%
Income / mo
$399
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$79
If assigned
-$100,407
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.10/share ($1,830 total).
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$165.0014d+$3.19-68%53%
Up And Out$170.8214d+$1.22-73%62%
Ss Escape$210.8242d+$0.14-86%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $134 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $108,735 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $134 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.55 / mid $3.67 · $1,065 this cycle
3.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$4,564
Annualized
143%
EV / cycle
+$382
If assigned
-$108,735
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.26/share ($1,277 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $136.99.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$134.0014d+$2.21$1.50 to $2.0968%52%
Up And Out$139.8214d+$0.17$-0.90 to $-0.1375%66%
Ss Escape$159.8235d+$0.05$-1.84 to $-0.4984%81%
Safety Up$174.8235d-$1.70$-3.82 to $-2.3492%91%
Reliable Up$148.8242d+$3.04$1.57 to $2.7177%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,935 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $160 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $3.55 / mid $3.65 · $1,065 this cycle
23.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$913
Annualized
29%
EV / cycle
+$540
If assigned
-$100,935
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.27/share ($3,682 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $163.47.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$160.0042d-$0.19$-0.99 to $0.6767%54%
Up And Out$160.8242d+$0.80$0.31 to $1.5469%55%
Ss Escape$160.8242d+$0.80$0.31 to $1.5469%55%
Safety Up$165.8242d-$1.59$-2.33 to $-1.0371%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,460 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $180 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.80 / mid $1.83 · $540 this cycle
39.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$463
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$344
If assigned
-$95,460
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.09/share ($4,528 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $183.99.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$180.0042d-$0.23$-0.50 to $1.9468%55%
Up And Out$180.8242d+$1.06$0.99 to $2.9269%55%
Ss Escape$180.8242d+$1.06$0.99 to $2.9269%55%
Safety Up$185.8242d-$1.45$-1.81 to $0.2971%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $105,735 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $140 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $7.55 / mid $7.78 · $2,265 this cycle
8.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$1,941
Annualized
61%
EV / cycle
+$718
If assigned
-$105,735
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.74/share ($2,922 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $143.09.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$140.0042d-$0.14$-1.31 to $-0.5567%54%
Up And Out$140.8242d+$0.56$-0.18 to $0.3369%55%
Ss Escape$140.8242d+$0.56$-0.18 to $0.3369%55%
Safety Up$165.8242d-$7.22$-10.14 to $-8.4484%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.