MSTR @ $137.02

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-72.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $152 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $103,689 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $152 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.87 / mid $1.94 · $561 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,404

Annualized

71%

EV / cycle

+$282

If assigned

-$103,689

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.23/share ($1,569 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $156.14.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$152.50	14d	+$3.17	$2.95 to $4.13	68%	53%
Up And Out	$160.48	14d	+$0.18	$-0.61 to $0.73	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$185.48	35d	+$0.18	$-1.20 to $0.96	84%	82%
Safety Up	$200.48	35d	-$1.61	$-3.31 to $-0.98	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$180.48	35d	+$1.03	$-0.20 to $1.86	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,395 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.41 · $105 this cycle

27.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$80

If assigned

-$97,395

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.60/share ($1,980 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	14d	+$4.03	-	68%	53%
Up And Out	$185.98	14d	+$0.05	-	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$222.98	42d	+$0.21	-	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $142 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $142 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $4.10 / mid $4.25 · $1,230 this cycle

3.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$5,271

Annualized

156%

EV / cycle

+$389

If assigned

-$106,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.64/share ($1,393 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $145.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$142.00	14d	+$2.80	$2.18 to $2.74	68%	52%
Up And Out	$148.98	14d	+$0.15	$-0.99 to $-0.25	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$169.98	35d	+$0.24	$-1.76 to $-0.44	84%	81%
Safety Up	$189.98	42d	-$1.80	$-4.52 to $-2.67	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$159.98	42d	+$2.43	$0.70 to $1.92	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,770 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $4.10 / mid $4.25 · $1,230 this cycle

24.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,054

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$595

If assigned

-$97,770

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.38/share ($4,014 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $173.83.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	42d	-$1.14	$-2.26 to $-0.01	67%	54%
Up And Out	$170.98	42d	+$0.30	$-0.36 to $1.26	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$170.98	42d	+$0.30	$-0.36 to $1.26	69%	55%
Safety Up	$176.98	42d	-$2.57	$-3.58 to $-1.83	71%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,493 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.69 / mid $1.76 · $507 this cycle

46.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$435

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$330

If assigned

-$89,493

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $17.74/share ($5,322 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $204.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	42d	-$1.49	$-1.40 to $2.33	67%	55%
Up And Out	$200.98	42d	+$0.57	$0.74 to $3.77	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$200.98	42d	+$0.57	$0.74 to $3.77	69%	56%
Reliable Up	$202.98	42d	-$0.39	$-0.31 to $2.68	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $150 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,555 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $150 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $8.15 / mid $8.28 · $2,445 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$2,096

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$802

If assigned

-$102,555

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.81/share ($3,242 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $153.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$150.00	42d	-$0.94	$-2.47 to $-1.51	66%	54%
Up And Out	$150.98	42d	+$0.15	$-0.79 to $-0.18	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$150.98	42d	+$0.15	$-0.79 to $-0.18	69%	55%
Safety Up	$182.98	42d	-$7.79	$-10.40 to $-8.96	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 22:04 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.