MSTR @ $131.29

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-73.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $142 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,896 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $142 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.68 / mid $1.74 · $504 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,520

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$288

If assigned

-$106,896

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.21/share ($1,262 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $144.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$142.00	13d	+$2.76	$2.38 to $3.29	68%	52%
Up And Out	$148.71	13d	+$0.12	$-0.71 to $0.43	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$175.71	41d	+$0.11	$-1.33 to $0.54	86%	83%
Safety Up	$190.71	41d	-$1.43	$-3.16 to $-1.06	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$170.71	41d	+$0.83	$-0.49 to $1.31	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $158 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,642 (premium included).

Called-away odds2%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $158 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.39 · $108 this cycle

20.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

98%

Income / mo

$540

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$104

If assigned

-$102,642

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.05/share ($1,515 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $160.64.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$157.50	13d	+$3.31	$3.75 to $4.75	68%	53%
Up And Out	$166.21	13d	+$0.11	$-0.23 to $1.16	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$196.21	41d	+$0.53	$0.03 to $2.14	85%	83%
Safety Up	$196.21	34d	-$0.14	$-0.76 to $1.36	87%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $108,465 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $135 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $3.45 / mid $3.55 · $1,035 this cycle

2.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$5,175

Annualized

160%

EV / cycle

+$384

If assigned

-$108,465

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.85/share ($1,156 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $137.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	13d	+$2.52	$1.88 to $2.47	68%	52%
Up And Out	$140.71	13d	+$0.25	$-0.86 to $-0.10	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$163.71	41d	+$0.31	$-1.69 to $-0.29	85%	82%
Safety Up	$173.71	34d	-$1.42	$-3.75 to $-2.12	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$153.71	41d	+$2.29	$0.69 to $1.81	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,935 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $3.55 / mid $3.65 · $1,065 this cycle

21.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$940

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$536

If assigned

-$100,935

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.80/share ($3,540 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $163.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	41d	+$1.24	$0.75 to $1.93	69%	54%
Up And Out	$162.71	41d	+$0.09	$-0.46 to $0.67	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$162.71	41d	+$0.09	$-0.46 to $0.67	70%	57%
Safety Up	$170.71	41d	-$3.07	$-4.00 to $-2.66	74%	66%
Reliable Up	$161.71	41d	+$0.56	$0.05 to $1.17	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,490 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.70 / mid $1.80 · $510 this cycle

37.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$332

If assigned

-$95,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.54/share ($4,363 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $183.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	41d	+$1.50	$1.48 to $3.40	69%	54%
Up And Out	$182.71	41d	+$0.37	$0.24 to $2.13	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$182.71	41d	+$0.37	$0.24 to $2.13	70%	57%
Safety Up	$186.71	41d	-$1.46	$-1.75 to $0.10	72%	61%
Reliable Up	$183.71	41d	-$0.18	$-0.35 to $1.56	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $142 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $105,030 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $142 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $7.90 / mid $8.98 · $2,370 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,734

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$635

If assigned

-$105,030

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-12 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.