MSTR @ $133.90

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-73.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $149 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $104,583 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $149 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $2.39 / mid $2.49 · $717 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,955

Annualized

59%

EV / cycle

+$410

If assigned

-$104,583

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.07/share ($1,821 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $152.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$149.00	18d	+$2.27	$1.78 to $2.74	68%	53%
Up And Out	$154.10	18d	+$0.20	$-0.57 to $0.38	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$170.10	39d	+$0.87	$-0.37 to $1.17	80%	75%
Safety Up	$185.10	39d	-$1.94	$-3.67 to $-1.87	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $172 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $172 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.60 · $150 this cycle

28.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$409

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$101

If assigned

-$98,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.82/share ($2,347 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $176.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$172.50	18d	+$2.92	$3.23 to $4.61	68%	53%
Up And Out	$179.60	18d	+$0.12	$-0.07 to $1.41	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$203.60	39d	+$0.26	$-0.08 to $2.19	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,680 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $140 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $4.40 / mid $4.53 · $1,320 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$3,600

Annualized

109%

EV / cycle

+$440

If assigned

-$106,680

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.46/share ($1,637 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $143.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	18d	+$2.04	$1.33 to $1.88	67%	53%
Up And Out	$144.10	18d	+$0.39	$-0.56 to $0.06	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$161.10	39d	+$0.25	$-1.50 to $-0.36	81%	76%
Safety Up	$186.10	39d	-$3.23	$-5.97 to $-4.21	90%	90%
Reliable Up	$156.10	39d	+$1.36	$-0.20 to $0.85	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,510 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $3.30 / mid $3.42 · $990 this cycle

23.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$928

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$464

If assigned

-$99,510

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.97/share ($3,590 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $168.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	39d	+$1.46	$1.04 to $2.33	68%	54%
Up And Out	$168.10	39d	+$0.25	$-0.24 to $0.92	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$168.10	39d	+$0.25	$-0.24 to $0.92	70%	58%
Safety Up	$178.10	39d	-$3.18	$-3.98 to $-2.81	76%	68%
Reliable Up	$167.10	39d	+$0.71	$0.27 to $1.41	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $190 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,574 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $190 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.42 / mid $1.48 · $426 this cycle

41.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$399

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$266

If assigned

-$92,574

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.32/share ($4,595 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $193.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$190.00	39d	+$1.87	$2.03 to $3.85	69%	55%
Up And Out	$195.10	39d	+$0.01	$-0.04 to $1.60	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$195.10	39d	+$0.01	$-0.04 to $1.60	71%	59%
Safety Up	$198.10	39d	-$1.10	$-1.23 to $0.37	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $104,295 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $145 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $7.35 / mid $7.50 · $2,205 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,067

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$675

If assigned

-$104,295

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.58/share ($2,873 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $148.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$145.00	39d	+$1.16	$0.50 to $1.01	68%	54%
Up And Out	$147.10	39d	+$0.38	$-0.29 to $0.15	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$147.10	39d	+$0.38	$-0.29 to $0.15	70%	57%
Safety Up	$176.10	39d	-$6.87	$-9.36 to $-7.91	87%	86%
Reliable Up	$146.10	39d	+$0.79	$0.14 to $0.61	69%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-14 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.