MSTR @ $130.15

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-74.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $146 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $105,621 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $146 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.93 / mid $2.02 · $579 this cycle

12.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,737

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$283

If assigned

-$105,621

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.61/share ($1,683 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $149.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$146.00	17d	+$2.47	$2.21 to $3.34	68%	53%
Up And Out	$151.85	17d	+$0.16	$-0.43 to $0.61	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$175.85	45d	+$0.57	$-0.58 to $1.26	83%	79%
Safety Up	$195.85	45d	-$1.89	$-3.39 to $-1.38	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$170.85	45d	+$0.81	$-0.35 to $1.53	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.55 · $150 this cycle

26.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$108

If assigned

-$100,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.93/share ($2,078 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $168.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	17d	+$3.08	$3.39 to $5.04	68%	53%
Up And Out	$172.85	17d	+$0.04	$-0.17 to $1.71	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$204.85	45d	+$0.56	$0.10 to $3.01	84%	81%
Safety Up	$209.85	45d	-$0.46	$-1.08 to $1.96	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$199.85	45d	+$1.31	$0.96 to $3.80	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $136 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $108,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $136 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $4.00 / mid $4.15 · $1,200 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$3,600

Annualized

112%

EV / cycle

+$353

If assigned

-$108,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.97/share ($1,492 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $139.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$136.00	17d	+$2.17	$1.58 to $2.15	68%	53%
Up And Out	$140.85	17d	+$0.23	$-0.62 to $-0.01	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$160.85	45d	+$0.14	$-1.78 to $-0.43	82%	78%
Safety Up	$185.85	45d	-$2.31	$-4.75 to $-3.12	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$154.85	45d	+$1.77	$0.20 to $1.35	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,860 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $3.80 / mid $4.00 · $1,140 this cycle

22.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$519

If assigned

-$100,860

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.83/share ($3,850 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $163.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	45d	+$0.55	$-0.16 to $1.18	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$159.85	45d	+$0.70	$0.02 to $1.34	68%	54%
Safety Up	$171.85	45d	-$3.64	$-4.72 to $-3.39	74%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,571 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.43 / mid $1.49 · $429 this cycle

38.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$415

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$271

If assigned

-$95,571

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.79/share ($4,137 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $183.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	38d	+$2.23	$2.37 to $4.12	69%	54%
Up And Out	$184.85	38d	+$0.23	$0.17 to $1.80	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$189.85	45d	+$0.44	$0.29 to $2.77	73%	63%
Safety Up	$194.85	45d	-$0.94	$-1.16 to $1.25	75%	67%
Reliable Up	$190.85	45d	-$0.12	$-0.32 to $2.20	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $105,840 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $140 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $7.20 / mid $7.30 · $2,160 this cycle

7.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,090

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$693

If assigned

-$105,840

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.89/share ($2,666 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $143.04.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	38d	+$1.43	$0.91 to $1.29	69%	54%
Up And Out	$141.85	38d	+$0.56	$-0.04 to $0.33	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$145.85	45d	+$0.47	$-0.55 to $0.05	72%	62%
Safety Up	$184.85	45d	-$6.84	$-9.73 to $-8.11	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$141.85	45d	+$1.81	$0.84 to $1.46	69%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-15 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.