MSTR @ $129.38

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-74.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $143 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,488 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $143 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $2.04 / mid $2.21 · $612 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,040

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$376

If assigned

-$106,488

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.49/share ($1,646 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $146.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$143.00	16d	+$2.48	$2.10 to $3.27	68%	53%
Up And Out	$148.62	16d	+$0.25	$-0.41 to $0.67	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$173.62	44d	+$0.19	$-1.19 to $0.79	84%	80%
Safety Up	$178.62	37d	-$1.86	$-3.52 to $-1.45	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$168.62	44d	+$1.07	$-0.19 to $1.71	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $162 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $101,106 (premium included).

Called-away odds2%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $162 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.53 · $144 this cycle

25.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

98%

Income / mo

$480

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$138

If assigned

-$101,106

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.83/share ($2,050 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $166.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$162.50	16d	+$3.12	$3.28 to $5.07	68%	53%
Up And Out	$170.12	16d	+$0.24	$0.16 to $1.74	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$198.12	44d	+$0.87	$0.65 to $3.17	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$188.12	44d	+$2.92	$2.83 to $5.41	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $108,285 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $135 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $4.05 / mid $4.17 · $1,215 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,050

Annualized

127%

EV / cycle

+$434

If assigned

-$108,285

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.98/share ($1,493 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $138.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	16d	+$2.24	$1.58 to $2.15	68%	53%
Up And Out	$140.62	16d	+$0.01	$-0.97 to $-0.32	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$160.62	44d	+$0.43	$-1.50 to $-0.19	83%	79%
Safety Up	$175.62	37d	-$2.58	$-5.17 to $-3.44	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$154.62	44d	+$1.76	$0.07 to $1.22	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,495 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $3.35 / mid $3.58 · $1,005 this cycle

19.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,005

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$471

If assigned

-$102,495

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.82/share ($3,247 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $158.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	37d	+$1.41	$0.94 to $2.17	69%	54%
Up And Out	$157.62	37d	+$0.40	$-0.11 to $0.99	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$163.62	44d	+$0.07	$-0.79 to $0.81	73%	64%
Safety Up	$174.62	44d	-$3.15	$-4.41 to $-2.61	79%	73%
Reliable Up	$161.62	44d	+$0.74	$-0.06 to $1.56	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.50 / mid $1.60 · $450 this cycle

35.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$284

If assigned

-$97,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.39/share ($4,017 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $178.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	37d	+$1.75	$1.74 to $3.43	69%	54%
Up And Out	$177.62	37d	+$0.78	$0.68 to $2.27	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$185.62	44d	+$0.21	$-0.11 to $2.04	74%	64%
Safety Up	$190.62	44d	-$1.40	$-1.90 to $0.32	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $140 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $6.60 / mid $6.88 · $1,980 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,980

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$631

If assigned

-$106,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.08/share ($2,723 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $143.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	37d	+$1.18	$0.52 to $1.01	68%	54%
Up And Out	$142.62	37d	+$0.14	$-0.55 to $-0.10	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$146.62	44d	+$0.22	$-0.85 to $-0.16	73%	63%
Safety Up	$175.62	44d	-$6.16	$-8.69 to $-7.19	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$143.62	44d	+$1.15	$0.10 to $0.80	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-16 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.