MSTR @ $129.51

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-74.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $144 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,302 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $144 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $1.66 / mid $1.73 · $498 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,660

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$224

If assigned

-$106,302

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.06/share ($1,519 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $147.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$144.00	16d	+$2.48	$2.17 to $3.16	67%	53%
Up And Out	$150.49	16d	+$0.04	$-0.66 to $0.39	73%	65%
Ss Escape	$174.49	44d	+$0.35	$-1.02 to $0.90	83%	80%
Safety Up	$179.49	37d	-$1.45	$-3.04 to $-1.01	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$169.49	44d	+$1.31	$0.10 to $1.90	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $101,862 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.49 · $138 this cycle

23.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$460

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$95

If assigned

-$101,862

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.07/share ($1,820 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $163.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	16d	+$2.99	$3.13 to $4.68	67%	53%
Up And Out	$167.49	16d	+$0.19	$-0.01 to $1.57	73%	65%
Ss Escape	$195.49	44d	+$0.55	$0.03 to $2.63	82%	79%
Safety Up	$200.49	44d	-$0.25	$-0.94 to $1.77	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$190.49	37d	+$0.31	$-0.12 to $2.32	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $108,435 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $135 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $3.55 / mid $3.67 · $1,065 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$3,550

Annualized

111%

EV / cycle

+$273

If assigned

-$108,435

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.54/share ($1,361 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $138.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	16d	+$2.22	$1.65 to $2.15	67%	53%
Up And Out	$140.49	16d	+$0.05	$-0.88 to $-0.27	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$160.49	44d	+$0.64	$-1.12 to $0.06	82%	79%
Safety Up	$175.49	37d	-$2.21	$-4.50 to $-2.99	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$154.49	44d	+$1.65	$0.06 to $1.15	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,510 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $3.30 / mid $3.42 · $990 this cycle

19.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$990

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$449

If assigned

-$102,510

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.26/share ($3,077 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $158.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	37d	+$1.49	$1.06 to $2.18	68%	54%
Up And Out	$157.49	37d	+$0.34	$-0.19 to $0.90	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$162.49	44d	+$0.30	$-0.57 to $1.02	72%	62%
Safety Up	$174.49	44d	-$3.25	$-4.61 to $-2.73	78%	73%
Reliable Up	$161.49	44d	+$0.67	$-0.16 to $1.42	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,056 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.48 / mid $1.54 · $444 this cycle

35.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$444

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$356

If assigned

-$97,056

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.69/share ($3,808 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $178.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	37d	+$1.82	$1.81 to $3.38	68%	54%
Up And Out	$177.49	37d	+$0.66	$0.52 to $2.05	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$182.49	44d	+$0.94	$0.66 to $2.78	71%	61%
Safety Up	$189.49	44d	-$1.47	$-2.01 to $0.22	74%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,065 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $140 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $6.45 / mid $6.58 · $1,935 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,935

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$578

If assigned

-$106,065

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.60/share ($2,579 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $143.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	37d	+$1.25	$0.65 to $1.09	68%	54%
Up And Out	$142.49	37d	+$0.13	$-0.58 to $-0.13	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$146.49	44d	+$0.22	$-0.86 to $-0.18	72%	62%
Safety Up	$180.49	44d	-$6.39	$-9.12 to $-7.51	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$141.49	44d	+$2.00	$1.05 to $1.70	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-16 21:52 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.