MSTR @ $125.37

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-74.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $139 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $107,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $139 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.50 / mid $1.65 · $450 this cycle

10.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,688

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$249

If assigned

-$107,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.94/share ($1,482 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $141.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$139.00	15d	+$2.22	$1.82 to $2.93	68%	53%
Up And Out	$144.63	15d	+$0.12	$-0.58 to $0.56	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$163.63	43d	+$0.85	$-0.38 to $1.44	82%	78%
Safety Up	$178.63	43d	-$1.45	$-3.06 to $-1.03	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $103,395 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.41 · $105 this cycle

23.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$394

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$84

If assigned

-$103,395

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.97/share ($1,792 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $157.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	15d	+$2.70	$2.95 to $4.40	68%	53%
Up And Out	$161.63	15d	+$0.30	$0.29 to $1.75	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$189.63	43d	+$0.27	$0.11 to $2.40	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$194.63	43d	-$0.51	$-0.70 to $1.57	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $109,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $130 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.50 / mid $3.65 · $1,050 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$3,938

Annualized

127%

EV / cycle

+$346

If assigned

-$109,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.40/share ($1,320 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $132.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	15d	+$1.97	$1.27 to $1.90	67%	52%
Up And Out	$134.63	15d	+$0.08	$-0.94 to $-0.22	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$154.63	43d	+$0.19	$-1.67 to $-0.36	83%	80%
Safety Up	$174.63	43d	-$2.42	$-4.94 to $-3.22	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$147.63	43d	+$1.66	$0.05 to $1.23	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,621 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $2.93 / mid $3.12 · $879 this cycle

23.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$732

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$436

If assigned

-$102,621

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.12/share ($3,635 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $158.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	43d	+$0.58	$0.03 to $1.41	68%	54%
Up And Out	$155.63	43d	+$0.18	$-0.41 to $1.00	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$155.63	43d	+$0.18	$-0.41 to $1.00	69%	55%
Safety Up	$160.63	43d	-$1.46	$-2.13 to $-0.94	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,538 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.54 / mid $1.78 · $462 this cycle

35.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$385

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$270

If assigned

-$98,538

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.28/share ($4,283 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $173.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	43d	+$0.68	$0.51 to $2.46	69%	54%
Up And Out	$170.63	43d	+$0.26	$0.06 to $2.04	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$170.63	43d	+$0.26	$0.06 to $2.04	69%	55%
Safety Up	$175.63	43d	-$1.31	$-1.63 to $0.10	72%	60%
Reliable Up	$171.63	43d	-$0.20	$-0.45 to $1.52	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $134 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $107,640 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $134 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $7.20 / mid $7.82 · $2,160 this cycle

6.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$589

If assigned

-$107,640

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.38/share ($2,815 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $136.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$134.00	43d	+$0.45	$-0.42 to $0.14	68%	54%
Up And Out	$134.63	43d	+$0.08	$-0.85 to $-0.27	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$134.63	43d	+$0.08	$-0.85 to $-0.27	68%	55%
Safety Up	$163.63	43d	-$7.01	$-9.50 to $-8.14	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 03:51 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.