MSTR @ $129.00

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-74.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $141 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $107,232 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $141 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.56 / mid $1.61 · $468 this cycle

9.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,755

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$221

If assigned

-$107,232

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.50/share ($1,350 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $143.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$141.00	15d	+$2.36	$2.04 to $2.96	67%	52%
Up And Out	$147.00	15d	+$0.04	$-0.64 to $0.30	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$167.00	43d	+$0.70	$-0.50 to $1.07	82%	79%
Safety Up	$177.00	43d	-$0.74	$-2.21 to $-0.46	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$161.00	43d	+$1.77	$0.71 to $2.20	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $103,392 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.42 · $108 this cycle

20.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$405

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$98

If assigned

-$103,392

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.32/share ($1,595 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $158.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	15d	+$2.80	$3.07 to $4.23	67%	53%
Up And Out	$162.00	15d	+$0.15	$-0.13 to $1.35	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$191.00	43d	+$0.18	$-0.36 to $1.86	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$181.00	43d	+$1.83	$1.48 to $3.57	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $134 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $108,840 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $134 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.20 / mid $3.33 · $960 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$3,600

Annualized

113%

EV / cycle

+$296

If assigned

-$108,840

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.12/share ($1,235 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $136.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$134.00	15d	+$2.15	$1.60 to $2.12	67%	52%
Up And Out	$139.00	15d	+$0.20	$-0.66 to $-0.07	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$160.00	43d	+$0.21	$-1.51 to $-0.32	83%	81%
Safety Up	$180.00	43d	-$1.95	$-4.18 to $-2.69	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$154.00	43d	+$1.23	$-0.32 to $0.76	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,510 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $3.30 / mid $3.52 · $990 this cycle

20.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$825

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$440

If assigned

-$102,510

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.27/share ($3,382 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $158.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	43d	+$0.64	$-0.01 to $1.18	68%	54%
Up And Out	$156.00	43d	+$0.45	$-0.17 to $0.93	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$156.00	43d	+$0.45	$-0.17 to $0.93	69%	55%
Safety Up	$166.00	43d	-$3.19	$-4.14 to $-2.98	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,475 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.75 / mid $1.96 · $525 this cycle

31.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$438

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$286

If assigned

-$98,475

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.31/share ($3,993 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $173.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	43d	+$0.71	$0.42 to $1.97	68%	54%
Up And Out	$172.00	43d	+$0.09	$-0.24 to $1.25	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$172.00	43d	+$0.09	$-0.24 to $1.25	69%	57%
Safety Up	$176.00	43d	-$1.58	$-2.09 to $-0.51	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $138 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,425 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $138 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $7.25 / mid $7.55 · $2,175 this cycle

7.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,813

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$652

If assigned

-$106,425

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.17/share ($2,750 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $140.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$138.00	43d	+$0.56	$-0.31 to $0.19	67%	54%
Up And Out	$139.00	43d	+$0.32	$-0.50 to $-0.04	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$139.00	43d	+$0.32	$-0.50 to $-0.04	68%	55%
Safety Up	$169.00	43d	-$7.00	$-9.50 to $-8.19	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 21:52 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.