MSTR @ $141.43

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-71.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.92 / mid $1.96 · $576 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,469

Annualized

71%

EV / cycle

+$406

If assigned

-$102,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.11/share ($1,532 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $158.14.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	14d	+$3.09	$2.87 to $3.73	69%	52%
Up And Out	$162.57	14d	+$0.07	$-0.68 to $0.42	77%	68%
Ss Escape	$183.57	35d	+$0.15	$-1.14 to $0.57	84%	81%
Safety Up	$203.57	42d	-$1.67	$-3.46 to $-1.40	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$178.57	35d	+$1.15	$0.02 to $1.69	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,386 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.42 · $114 this cycle

23.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$489

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$89

If assigned

-$97,386

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.32/share ($1,896 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	14d	+$3.86	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$183.57	14d	+$0.45	-	76%	66%
Ss Escape	$213.57	35d	+$0.16	-	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $146 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $104,985 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $146 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $4.05 / mid $4.15 · $1,215 this cycle

3.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$5,207

Annualized

149%

EV / cycle

+$513

If assigned

-$104,985

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.60/share ($1,381 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $149.14.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$146.00	14d	+$2.78	$2.16 to $2.83	69%	52%
Up And Out	$152.57	14d	+$0.11	$-0.96 to $-0.18	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$174.57	42d	+$0.14	$-2.06 to $-0.47	84%	81%
Safety Up	$194.57	42d	-$2.05	$-4.81 to $-2.85	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$164.57	35d	+$1.51	$-0.17 to $1.10	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,755 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $4.15 / mid $4.28 · $1,245 this cycle

20.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,067

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$646

If assigned

-$97,755

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.52/share ($3,756 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $173.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	42d	-$0.72	$-1.82 to $0.07	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$168.57	42d	+$1.83	$1.27 to $2.58	68%	52%
Safety Up	$183.57	42d	-$3.80	$-4.86 to $-3.59	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,984 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.72 / mid $1.79 · $516 this cycle

37.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$442

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$347

If assigned

-$90,984

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.02/share ($4,805 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $198.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	42d	-$0.96	$-1.29 to $1.69	67%	54%
Up And Out	$198.57	42d	+$0.14	$-0.01 to $2.12	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$198.57	42d	+$0.14	$-0.01 to $2.12	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $101,265 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $7.45 / mid $7.58 · $2,235 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$1,916

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$867

If assigned

-$101,265

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.63/share ($3,188 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $158.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	42d	-$0.58	$-1.99 to $-1.03	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$153.57	42d	+$1.69	$0.92 to $1.54	68%	52%
Safety Up	$183.57	42d	-$7.15	$-9.45 to $-8.06	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-18 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.