MSTR @ $153.48

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-69.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,111 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $168 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.13 / mid $2.17 · $639 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,195

Annualized

84%

EV / cycle

+$368

If assigned

-$99,111

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.14/share ($1,541 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $171.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$167.50	13d	+$3.54	$3.14 to $4.38	68%	52%
Up And Out	$176.52	13d	+$0.14	$-0.87 to $0.50	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$209.02	41d	+$0.32	$-1.33 to $0.84	86%	84%
Safety Up	$219.02	34d	-$1.71	$-3.71 to $-1.34	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$194.02	41d	+$2.75	$1.46 to $3.39	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,766 (premium included).

Called-away odds2%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.78 / mid $0.82 · $234 this cycle

30.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

98%

Income / mo

$540

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$223

If assigned

-$89,766

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.76/share ($2,927 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $203.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	20d	+$3.87	$4.60 to $6.45	68%	53%
Up And Out	$206.52	20d	+$1.23	$1.49 to $3.32	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$236.52	41d	+$0.18	$0.39 to $3.17	82%	77%
Safety Up	$241.52	41d	-$0.33	$-0.15 to $2.58	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,875 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $3.75 / mid $3.80 · $1,125 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$5,625

Annualized

149%

EV / cycle

+$535

If assigned

-$100,875

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.75/share ($1,424 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $163.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	13d	+$3.26	$2.61 to $3.40	68%	52%
Up And Out	$166.52	13d	+$0.74	$-0.36 to $0.58	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$196.52	41d	+$0.24	$-2.00 to $-0.17	85%	83%
Safety Up	$211.52	34d	-$2.02	$-4.71 to $-2.62	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$186.52	41d	+$2.05	$0.20 to $1.81	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $190 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,785 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $190 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $4.05 / mid $4.15 · $1,215 this cycle

23.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,072

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$638

If assigned

-$91,785

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.14/share ($4,241 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $193.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$190.00	41d	+$1.98	$1.61 to $2.89	69%	54%
Up And Out	$191.52	41d	+$1.17	$0.73 to $2.02	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$191.52	41d	+$1.17	$0.73 to $2.02	69%	56%
Safety Up	$206.52	41d	-$3.95	$-4.86 to $-3.61	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $215 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $84,921 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $215 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.93 / mid $2.01 · $579 this cycle

40.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$511

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$372

If assigned

-$84,921

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $17.59/share ($5,278 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $219.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$215.00	41d	+$2.45	$2.60 to $4.30	69%	55%
Up And Out	$221.52	41d	+$0.21	$0.22 to $1.78	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$221.52	41d	+$0.21	$0.22 to $1.78	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,770 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $9.10 / mid $9.25 · $2,730 this cycle

7.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,409

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$892

If assigned

-$97,770

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.05/share ($3,314 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $168.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	41d	+$1.56	$0.90 to $1.28	69%	54%
Up And Out	$166.52	41d	+$0.77	$0.04 to $0.44	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$166.52	41d	+$0.77	$0.04 to $0.44	69%	56%
Safety Up	$206.52	41d	-$8.39	$-11.25 to $-9.70	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-19 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.