MSTR @ $168.46

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-66.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $2.50 / mid $2.56 · $750 this cycle

15.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$420

If assigned

-$90,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.17/share ($2,452 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $199.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	17d	+$3.85	$3.56 to $5.24	68%	53%
Up And Out	$201.54	17d	+$1.31	$0.73 to $2.39	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$231.54	38d	+$0.66	$-0.72 to $2.15	82%	78%
Safety Up	$251.54	38d	-$2.12	$-3.93 to $-0.82	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $250 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $74,478 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $250 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.74 / mid $1.82 · $522 this cycle

48.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$505

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$479

If assigned

-$74,478

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $21.01/share ($6,304 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $255.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$250.00	38d	+$3.84	$4.36 to $7.34	70%	55%
Up And Out	$256.54	38d	+$1.13	$1.30 to $4.20	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$256.54	38d	+$1.13	$1.30 to $4.20	71%	59%
Safety Up	$261.54	38d	-$0.68	$-0.72 to $2.13	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,485 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $5.05 / mid $5.12 · $1,515 this cycle

6.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$4,545

Annualized

109%

EV / cycle

+$563

If assigned

-$94,485

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.15/share ($2,146 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $184.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	17d	+$3.36	$2.69 to $3.62	68%	53%
Up And Out	$186.54	17d	+$0.82	$-0.16 to $0.73	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$211.54	38d	+$0.66	$-1.37 to $0.38	82%	78%
Safety Up	$246.54	38d	-$3.73	$-6.73 to $-4.43	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$196.54	38d	+$3.64	$2.00 to $3.59	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $210 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $85,635 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $210 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $4.55 / mid $4.67 · $1,365 this cycle

24.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,321

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$678

If assigned

-$85,635

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.54/share ($4,661 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $214.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$210.00	38d	+$2.85	$2.57 to $3.87	69%	54%
Up And Out	$216.54	38d	+$0.13	$-0.39 to $0.89	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$216.54	38d	+$0.13	$-0.39 to $0.89	72%	60%
Safety Up	$226.54	38d	-$3.69	$-4.74 to $-3.21	75%	68%
Reliable Up	$211.54	38d	+$2.13	$1.80 to $3.13	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $250 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $74,478 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $250 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.74 / mid $1.82 · $522 this cycle

48.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$505

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$479

If assigned

-$74,478

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $21.01/share ($6,304 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $255.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$250.00	38d	+$3.84	$4.36 to $7.34	70%	55%
Up And Out	$256.54	38d	+$1.13	$1.30 to $4.20	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$256.54	38d	+$1.13	$1.30 to $4.20	71%	59%
Safety Up	$261.54	38d	-$0.68	$-0.72 to $2.13	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,770 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $9.10 / mid $9.25 · $2,730 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$2,642

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$887

If assigned

-$91,770

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.52/share ($3,756 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $189.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	38d	+$2.31	$1.70 to $2.25	69%	54%
Up And Out	$186.54	38d	+$1.59	$0.94 to $1.45	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$186.54	38d	+$1.59	$0.94 to $1.45	70%	56%
Safety Up	$231.54	38d	-$8.92	$-11.86 to $-10.09	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-22 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.