MSTR @ $168.43

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-66.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $190 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $190 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.00 / mid $3.08 · $900 this cycle

12.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$494

If assigned

-$92,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.97/share ($2,392 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $194.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$190.00	17d	+$3.78	$3.47 to $4.94	69%	53%
Up And Out	$196.57	17d	+$1.05	$0.29 to $1.75	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$226.57	38d	+$0.29	$-1.38 to $1.23	83%	79%
Safety Up	$246.57	38d	-$2.54	$-4.79 to $-1.80	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$221.57	38d	+$1.32	$-0.20 to $2.33	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $225 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $82,326 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $225 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.61 · $174 this cycle

33.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$522

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$134

If assigned

-$82,326

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.67/share ($3,201 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$225.00	17d	+$5.09	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$236.57	17d	+$0.65	-	75%	65%
Ss Escape	$306.57	38d	+$0.83	-	92%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,515 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $4.95 / mid $5.05 · $1,485 this cycle

6.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$4,455

Annualized

107%

EV / cycle

+$632

If assigned

-$94,515

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.27/share ($2,182 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $183.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	17d	+$3.44	$2.77 to $3.75	69%	53%
Up And Out	$186.57	17d	+$0.72	$-0.29 to $0.66	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$211.57	38d	+$0.52	$-1.53 to $0.30	82%	78%
Safety Up	$241.57	38d	-$3.46	$-6.45 to $-4.04	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$196.57	38d	+$4.07	$2.49 to $4.14	77%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $205 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $86,985 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $205 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.05 / mid $5.22 · $1,515 this cycle

21.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,466

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$788

If assigned

-$86,985

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.31/share ($4,592 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $209.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$205.00	38d	+$2.75	$2.32 to $3.75	70%	54%
Up And Out	$206.57	38d	+$2.03	$1.59 to $2.93	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$206.57	38d	+$2.03	$1.59 to $2.93	70%	56%
Safety Up	$226.57	38d	-$4.92	$-6.15 to $-4.67	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $250 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $74,310 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $250 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $2.30 / mid $2.43 · $690 this cycle

48.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$545

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$625

If assigned

-$74,310

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,835 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $10.55 / mid $10.75 · $3,165 this cycle

6.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$3,063

Annualized

74%

EV / cycle

+$1,086

If assigned

-$92,835

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.23/share ($3,669 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $183.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	38d	+$2.21	$1.53 to $1.98	69%	54%
Up And Out	$181.57	38d	+$1.49	$0.79 to $1.22	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$181.57	38d	+$1.49	$0.79 to $1.22	70%	56%
Safety Up	$231.57	38d	-$9.59	$-13.07 to $-11.13	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-22 21:48 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.