MSTR @ $168.34

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-66.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $190 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,241 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $190 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $2.53 / mid $2.58 · $759 this cycle
12.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$2,530
Annualized
61%
EV / cycle
+$433
If assigned
-$92,241
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.22/share ($2,166 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $194.08.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$190.0016d+$3.65$3.42 to $4.7668%53%
Up And Out$196.6616d+$1.05$0.40 to $1.6673%62%
Ss Escape$226.6637d+$0.26$-1.27 to $1.0783%79%
Safety Up$246.6637d-$2.20$-4.12 to $-1.4689%87%
Reliable Up$221.6637d+$1.13$-0.30 to $1.9681%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $220 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $83,820 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $220 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.64 · $180 this cycle
30.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$600
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$144
If assigned
-$83,820
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.31/share ($2,794 total).
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$220.0016d+$4.72-68%53%
Up And Out$231.6616d+$0.49-74%66%
Ss Escape$271.6637d+$0.54-84%81%
Safety Up$276.6637d-$0.17-86%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,820 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $175 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $5.60 / mid $5.67 · $1,680 this cycle
4.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$5,600
Annualized
135%
EV / cycle
+$593
If assigned
-$95,820
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.27/share ($1,882 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $178.87.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$175.0016d+$3.16$2.39 to $3.0268%53%
Up And Out$181.6616d+$0.57$-0.59 to $0.1773%63%
Ss Escape$206.6637d+$0.16$-2.37 to $-0.6782%79%
Safety Up$231.6637d-$2.85$-6.00 to $-3.9391%90%
Reliable Up$191.6637d+$3.38$1.33 to $2.7276%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $205 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $87,135 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $205 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $4.55 / mid $4.65 · $1,365 this cycle
21.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$1,365
Annualized
33%
EV / cycle
+$598
If assigned
-$87,135
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.21/share ($4,264 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $210.09.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$205.0037d+$2.62$2.23 to $3.5368%54%
Up And Out$206.6637d+$1.81$1.31 to $2.5968%56%
Ss Escape$206.6637d+$1.81$1.31 to $2.5968%56%
Safety Up$221.6637d-$3.66$-4.85 to $-3.3075%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $240 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $77,457 (premium included).
Called-away odds6%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $240 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.81 / mid $1.91 · $543 this cycle
42.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
94%
Income / mo
$543
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$422
If assigned
-$77,457
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $18.52/share ($5,555 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $246.27.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$240.0037d+$3.41$3.54 to $5.9068%55%
Up And Out$246.6637d+$0.45$0.28 to $2.5470%59%
Ss Escape$246.6637d+$0.45$0.28 to $2.5470%59%
Safety Up$251.6637d-$1.23$-1.62 to $0.7072%62%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,010 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $185 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $8.30 / mid $8.45 · $2,490 this cycle
9.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$2,490
Annualized
60%
EV / cycle
+$571
If assigned
-$92,010
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.00/share ($3,600 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $189.59.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$185.0037d+$2.22$1.59 to $2.1768%54%
Up And Out$186.6637d+$1.42$0.71 to $1.2868%56%
Ss Escape$186.6637d+$1.42$0.71 to $1.2868%56%
Safety Up$226.6637d-$8.25$-10.90 to $-9.3087%86%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-23 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.