MSTR @ $168.29

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-66.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $188 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,039 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $188 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $2.37 / mid $2.42 · $711 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,370

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$472

If assigned

-$93,039

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.36/share ($1,907 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $191.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$187.50	16d	+$3.52	$3.18 to $4.48	67%	53%
Up And Out	$194.21	16d	+$0.97	$0.30 to $1.41	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$224.21	37d	+$0.40	$-1.09 to $1.02	83%	80%
Safety Up	$244.21	37d	-$2.05	$-4.06 to $-1.58	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$219.21	37d	+$1.25	$-0.10 to $1.91	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $218 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $84,597 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $218 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.51 / mid $0.56 · $153 this cycle

29.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$510

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$108

If assigned

-$84,597

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.23/share ($2,470 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$217.50	16d	+$4.58	-	67%	53%
Up And Out	$229.21	16d	+$0.42	-	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$269.21	37d	+$0.41	-	84%	81%
Safety Up	$274.21	37d	-$0.36	-	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,060 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $4.80 / mid $4.92 · $1,440 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,800

Annualized

116%

EV / cycle

+$374

If assigned

-$96,060

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.65/share ($1,694 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $178.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	16d	+$3.12	$2.50 to $3.13	67%	53%
Up And Out	$181.71	16d	+$0.59	$-0.41 to $0.25	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$206.71	37d	+$0.37	$-1.69 to $-0.30	83%	80%
Safety Up	$231.71	37d	-$2.51	$-5.38 to $-3.45	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$191.71	37d	+$3.60	$2.16 to $3.25	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $205 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $87,270 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $205 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $4.10 / mid $4.25 · $1,230 this cycle

21.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,230

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$576

If assigned

-$87,270

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.60/share ($4,081 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $209.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$205.00	37d	+$2.68	$2.39 to $3.70	69%	54%
Up And Out	$206.71	37d	+$1.92	$1.57 to $2.84	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$206.71	37d	+$1.92	$1.57 to $2.84	69%	56%
Safety Up	$221.71	37d	-$3.28	$-4.27 to $-2.92	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $235 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $78,942 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $235 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.86 / mid $1.98 · $558 this cycle

39.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$558

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$364

If assigned

-$78,942

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $17.32/share ($5,196 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $239.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$235.00	37d	+$3.38	$3.75 to $6.41	69%	54%
Up And Out	$241.71	37d	+$0.68	$0.81 to $3.34	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$241.71	37d	+$0.68	$0.81 to $3.34	71%	59%
Safety Up	$246.71	37d	-$1.16	$-1.17 to $1.41	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $9.00 / mid $9.18 · $2,700 this cycle

7.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$770

If assigned

-$93,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.84/share ($3,252 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $183.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	37d	+$2.15	$1.60 to $1.99	68%	54%
Up And Out	$181.71	37d	+$1.39	$0.79 to $1.16	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$181.71	37d	+$1.39	$0.79 to $1.16	69%	56%
Safety Up	$226.71	37d	-$8.29	$-11.28 to $-9.59	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-23 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.