MSTR @ $163.01

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-67.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,277 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $180 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $2.41 / mid $2.45 · $723 this cycle
10.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$2,711
Annualized
67%
EV / cycle
+$398
If assigned
-$95,277
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.19/share ($1,858 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $183.61.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$180.0015d+$3.45$3.11 to $4.3468%53%
Up And Out$186.9915d+$0.64$-0.11 to $1.2174%64%
Ss Escape$211.9936d+$0.71$-0.67 to $1.4183%79%
Safety Up$231.9936d-$2.00$-3.85 to $-1.4489%87%
Reliable Up$201.9929d+$0.97$-0.24 to $1.7080%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $208 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $87,603 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $208 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.52 · $147 this cycle
27.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$551
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$121
If assigned
-$87,603
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.95/share ($2,384 total).
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$207.5015d+$4.44-68%53%
Up And Out$216.9915d+$0.76-74%65%
Ss Escape$254.4936d+$0.42-84%81%
Safety Up$259.4936d-$0.30-86%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,635 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $170 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $4.55 / mid $4.60 · $1,365 this cycle
4.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$5,119
Annualized
127%
EV / cycle
+$514
If assigned
-$97,635
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.61/share ($1,683 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $173.61.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$170.0015d+$3.12$2.41 to $3.1268%52%
Up And Out$176.9915d+$0.33$-0.83 to $0.0474%65%
Ss Escape$201.9936d+$0.00$-2.20 to $-0.5684%81%
Safety Up$221.9936d-$2.41$-5.28 to $-3.1590%89%
Reliable Up$186.9929d+$1.44$-0.26 to $1.0379%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $88,590 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $200 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $4.70 / mid $4.88 · $1,410 this cycle
22.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$1,175
Annualized
29%
EV / cycle
+$695
If assigned
-$88,590
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $235 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $78,912 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $235 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.96 / mid $2.21 · $588 this cycle
44.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$490
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$381
If assigned
-$78,912
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,470 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $175 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $10.10 / mid $10.25 · $3,030 this cycle
7.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$2,525
Annualized
63%
EV / cycle
+$964
If assigned
-$94,470
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-24 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.