MSTR @ $161.65

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-67.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,505 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.65 / mid $1.69 · $495 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,856

Annualized

47%

EV / cycle

+$225

If assigned

-$95,505

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.56/share ($1,669 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $183.65.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	15d	+$3.22	$2.94 to $4.15	67%	53%
Up And Out	$188.35	15d	+$0.08	$-0.65 to $0.62	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$218.35	43d	+$0.22	$-1.08 to $1.01	84%	81%
Safety Up	$228.35	36d	-$1.48	$-3.02 to $-0.86	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$208.35	43d	+$1.87	$0.83 to $2.84	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,868 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.48 · $132 this cycle

23.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$495

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$90

If assigned

-$89,868

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.71/share ($2,013 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	15d	+$3.87	-	67%	53%
Up And Out	$208.35	15d	+$0.66	-	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$243.35	36d	+$0.23	-	84%	81%
Safety Up	$248.35	36d	-$0.34	-	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $168 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $4.10 / mid $4.20 · $1,230 this cycle

3.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,612

Annualized

116%

EV / cycle

+$400

If assigned

-$98,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.90/share ($1,470 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $170.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$167.50	15d	+$2.84	$2.21 to $2.80	67%	52%
Up And Out	$173.35	15d	+$0.50	$-0.55 to $0.21	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$200.85	43d	+$0.15	$-2.02 to $-0.45	83%	81%
Safety Up	$220.85	36d	-$2.42	$-5.11 to $-3.25	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$190.85	36d	+$1.40	$-0.31 to $0.94	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $88,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $4.00 / mid $4.12 · $1,200 this cycle

23.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,000

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$575

If assigned

-$88,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.49/share ($4,346 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $203.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	43d	-$0.40	$-1.28 to $0.75	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$195.85	43d	+$0.21	$-0.79 to $1.62	64%	50%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $225 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $81,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $225 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.92 / mid $2.04 · $576 this cycle

39.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$480

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$338

If assigned

-$81,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $17.87/share ($5,361 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $229.61.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$225.00	43d	-$0.50	$-0.68 to $2.17	67%	55%
Ss Escape	$218.35	43d	+$1.16	$1.11 to $4.22	64%	49%
Reliable Up	$225.85	43d	-$0.06	$-0.20 to $2.40	68%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,890 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $8.70 / mid $8.90 · $2,610 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,175

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$742

If assigned

-$94,890

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.45/share ($3,436 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $178.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	43d	-$0.32	$-1.70 to $-0.81	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$170.85	43d	+$0.52	$-1.10 to $-0.00	63%	49%
Safety Up	$213.35	43d	-$8.53	$-11.54 to $-9.86	87%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-24 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.