MSTR @ $159.88

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-68.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,026 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.58 / mid $1.64 · $474 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,031

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$201

If assigned

-$97,026

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.61/share ($1,383 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $178.65.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	14d	+$3.07	$2.90 to $3.63	67%	52%
Up And Out	$182.62	14d	+$0.39	$-0.31 to $0.71	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$220.12	42d	+$0.18	$-1.27 to $0.53	86%	84%
Safety Up	$235.12	42d	-$1.49	$-3.31 to $-1.24	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$205.12	35d	+$1.16	$0.08 to $1.64	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,383 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.43 · $117 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$501

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$84

If assigned

-$91,383

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.59/share ($1,677 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	14d	+$3.74	-	67%	53%
Up And Out	$205.12	14d	+$0.30	-	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$245.12	42d	+$0.86	-	85%	83%
Safety Up	$245.12	35d	-$0.13	-	86%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,435 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.55 / mid $3.62 · $1,065 this cycle

3.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,564

Annualized

116%

EV / cycle

+$242

If assigned

-$99,435

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.15/share ($1,246 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $168.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	14d	+$2.77	$2.26 to $2.80	67%	52%
Up And Out	$172.62	14d	+$0.11	$-0.93 to $-0.21	75%	68%
Ss Escape	$200.12	42d	+$0.72	$-1.20 to $0.16	84%	82%
Safety Up	$215.12	35d	-$1.65	$-4.00 to $-2.35	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$190.12	35d	+$1.29	$-0.29 to $0.86	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $4.00 / mid $4.15 · $1,200 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,029

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$555

If assigned

-$90,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.37/share ($4,011 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $199.01.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	42d	+$1.70	$1.24 to $2.55	68%	54%
Up And Out	$197.62	42d	+$0.47	$-0.10 to $1.18	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$197.62	42d	+$0.47	$-0.10 to $1.18	69%	57%
Safety Up	$207.62	42d	-$3.17	$-4.14 to $-2.79	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $220 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $83,424 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $220 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.92 / mid $2.04 · $576 this cycle

37.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$494

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$344

If assigned

-$83,424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.60/share ($4,979 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $224.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$220.00	42d	+$2.07	$2.15 to $4.53	68%	54%
Up And Out	$222.62	42d	+$0.80	$0.78 to $3.07	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$222.62	42d	+$0.80	$0.78 to $3.07	69%	57%
Safety Up	$227.62	42d	-$1.01	$-1.22 to $1.06	71%	60%
Reliable Up	$225.12	42d	-$0.05	$-0.18 to $2.02	70%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $172 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,745 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $172 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $8.35 / mid $8.55 · $2,505 this cycle

7.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,147

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$697

If assigned

-$95,745

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.76/share ($3,228 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $176.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$172.50	42d	+$1.40	$0.72 to $1.17	68%	54%
Up And Out	$175.12	42d	+$0.20	$-0.60 to $-0.14	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$175.12	42d	+$0.20	$-0.60 to $-0.14	69%	57%
Safety Up	$212.62	42d	-$8.08	$-10.95 to $-9.35	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$172.62	42d	+$1.35	$0.67 to $1.12	68%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-25 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.