MSTR @ $159.52

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-68.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $172 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,680 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $172 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.90 / mid $1.92 · $570 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,850

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$312

If assigned

-$97,680

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.76/share ($1,427 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $175.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$172.50	13d	+$3.28	$2.89 to $3.98	68%	52%
Up And Out	$180.48	13d	+$0.23	$-0.75 to $0.58	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$207.98	34d	+$0.11	$-1.54 to $0.56	86%	83%
Safety Up	$227.98	41d	-$1.07	$-2.77 to $-0.61	93%	92%
Reliable Up	$200.48	41d	+$1.26	$-0.38 to $1.76	80%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,742 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.86 / mid $0.91 · $258 this cycle

25.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$595

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$240

If assigned

-$89,742

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.64/share ($2,592 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $204.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	20d	+$3.53	$3.90 to $5.19	68%	53%
Up And Out	$207.98	20d	+$0.39	$0.32 to $1.83	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$235.48	41d	+$0.33	$0.10 to $2.67	82%	78%
Reliable Up	$230.48	41d	+$0.30	$0.06 to $2.72	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,435 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $3.55 / mid $3.62 · $1,065 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$5,325

Annualized

135%

EV / cycle

+$399

If assigned

-$99,435

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.39/share ($1,318 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $168.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	13d	+$3.03	$2.38 to $3.00	68%	52%
Up And Out	$172.98	13d	+$0.01	$-1.34 to $-0.38	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$200.48	41d	+$0.60	$-1.65 to $-0.03	85%	82%
Safety Up	$220.48	41d	-$1.61	$-4.07 to $-2.32	94%	93%
Reliable Up	$187.98	41d	+$1.86	$-0.19 to $1.28	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,315 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $3.95 / mid $4.08 · $1,185 this cycle

22.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,046

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$603

If assigned

-$90,315

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.67/share ($4,100 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $198.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	41d	+$1.68	$1.16 to $2.51	68%	54%
Up And Out	$197.98	41d	+$0.17	$-0.50 to $0.91	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$197.98	41d	+$0.17	$-0.50 to $0.91	69%	57%
Safety Up	$207.98	41d	-$3.46	$-4.49 to $-3.02	74%	66%
Reliable Up	$195.48	41d	+$1.41	$0.86 to $2.21	68%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $220 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $83,307 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $220 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $2.31 / mid $2.71 · $693 this cycle

37.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$507

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$575

If assigned

-$83,307

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,240 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $9.20 / mid $9.35 · $2,760 this cycle

6.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$2,435

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$853

If assigned

-$96,240

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.71/share ($3,213 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $173.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	41d	+$1.36	$0.59 to $1.01	68%	54%
Up And Out	$170.48	41d	+$1.10	$0.29 to $0.72	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$170.48	41d	+$1.10	$0.29 to $0.72	68%	54%
Safety Up	$215.48	41d	-$8.74	$-12.09 to $-10.39	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-26 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.