MSTR @ $159.28

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-68.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $178 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,976 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $178 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $2.58 / mid $2.62 · $774 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,111

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$386

If assigned

-$95,976

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.80/share ($2,041 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $181.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$177.50	18d	+$3.02	$2.71 to $3.76	68%	53%
Up And Out	$183.22	18d	+$0.70	$0.06 to $1.10	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$203.22	39d	+$0.12	$-1.43 to $0.69	80%	76%
Safety Up	$223.22	39d	-$2.54	$-4.55 to $-2.20	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$198.22	39d	+$1.73	$0.46 to $2.38	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,778 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.74 / mid $0.77 · $222 this cycle

25.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$605

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$158

If assigned

-$89,778

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.41/share ($2,522 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $204.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	18d	+$3.75	$4.17 to $5.62	68%	53%
Up And Out	$208.22	18d	+$0.53	$0.32 to $1.97	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$230.72	39d	+$0.58	$-0.01 to $2.93	80%	75%
Safety Up	$230.72	32d	-$0.14	$-0.78 to $1.99	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$228.22	32d	+$0.38	$-0.13 to $2.49	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,340 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $168 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $4.70 / mid $4.78 · $1,410 this cycle

5.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$3,845

Annualized

98%

EV / cycle

+$497

If assigned

-$98,340

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.15/share ($1,844 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $170.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$167.50	18d	+$2.73	$2.14 to $2.82	68%	53%
Up And Out	$173.22	18d	+$0.41	$-0.45 to $0.18	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$188.22	32d	+$0.02	$-1.65 to $-0.46	81%	76%
Safety Up	$218.22	39d	-$3.13	$-5.80 to $-4.00	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$180.72	32d	+$1.94	$0.60 to $1.66	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,360 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $3.80 / mid $3.92 · $1,140 this cycle

22.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,069

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$577

If assigned

-$90,360

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.49/share ($4,046 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $199.05.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	39d	+$1.13	$0.44 to $2.10	68%	54%
Up And Out	$195.72	39d	+$1.27	$0.66 to $2.18	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$195.72	39d	+$1.27	$0.66 to $2.18	68%	55%
Safety Up	$203.22	39d	-$2.98	$-4.17 to $-2.19	71%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $220 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $83,460 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $220 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.80 / mid $1.88 · $540 this cycle

38.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$506

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$345

If assigned

-$83,460

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.73/share ($5,020 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $224.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$220.00	39d	+$1.35	$1.46 to $4.11	68%	54%
Up And Out	$220.72	39d	+$1.59	$1.70 to $4.21	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$220.72	39d	+$1.59	$1.70 to $4.21	69%	55%
Safety Up	$225.72	39d	-$1.74	$-1.80 to $0.99	70%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,315 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $8.95 / mid $9.10 · $2,685 this cycle

6.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,517

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$835

If assigned

-$96,315

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.58/share ($3,175 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $173.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	39d	+$0.93	$-0.07 to $0.52	67%	54%
Up And Out	$170.72	39d	+$0.97	$0.09 to $0.60	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$170.72	39d	+$0.97	$0.09 to $0.60	68%	55%
Safety Up	$215.72	39d	-$8.66	$-12.03 to $-10.20	91%	91%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-28 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.