MSTR @ $157.40

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-68.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,798 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $2.34 / mid $2.38 · $702 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,106

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$368

If assigned

-$96,798

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.31/share ($1,892 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $178.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	17d	+$2.97	$2.68 to $3.74	68%	53%
Up And Out	$182.60	17d	+$0.03	$-0.69 to $0.49	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$205.10	38d	+$0.44	$-0.88 to $1.15	82%	79%
Safety Up	$222.60	38d	-$2.02	$-3.77 to $-1.50	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$202.60	38d	+$0.94	$-0.31 to $1.68	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $210 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $86,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $210 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $1.40 / mid $1.46 · $420 this cycle

33.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$525

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$373

If assigned

-$86,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.03/share ($3,910 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $214.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$210.00	31d	+$3.36	$3.76 to $5.91	69%	54%
Up And Out	$217.60	31d	+$0.25	$0.23 to $2.21	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$225.10	38d	+$0.57	$0.52 to $3.35	75%	66%
Safety Up	$230.10	38d	-$1.17	$-1.44 to $1.50	76%	69%
Reliable Up	$227.60	38d	-$0.23	$-0.40 to $2.48	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,180 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $4.40 / mid $4.47 · $1,320 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$3,960

Annualized

102%

EV / cycle

+$478

If assigned

-$99,180

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.69/share ($1,706 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $168.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	17d	+$2.67	$2.08 to $2.75	68%	52%
Up And Out	$170.10	17d	+$0.60	$-0.25 to $0.41	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$192.60	38d	+$0.24	$-1.63 to $-0.25	82%	79%
Safety Up	$217.60	38d	-$2.93	$-5.62 to $-3.73	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$182.60	38d	+$2.37	$0.86 to $2.09	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $190 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,815 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $190 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $3.95 / mid $4.08 · $1,185 this cycle

20.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,147

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$603

If assigned

-$91,815

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.63/share ($3,789 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $193.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$190.00	38d	+$2.22	$1.81 to $2.90	69%	54%
Up And Out	$195.10	38d	+$0.14	$-0.38 to $0.54	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$195.10	38d	+$0.14	$-0.38 to $0.54	71%	59%
Safety Up	$207.60	38d	-$3.92	$-4.94 to $-3.78	77%	71%
Reliable Up	$192.60	38d	+$1.16	$0.72 to $1.68	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $215 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $84,963 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $215 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.79 / mid $1.90 · $537 this cycle

36.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$520

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$348

If assigned

-$84,963

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.76/share ($4,729 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $219.05.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$215.00	38d	+$2.72	$2.95 to $4.90	69%	54%
Up And Out	$220.10	38d	+$0.66	$0.63 to $2.61	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$220.10	38d	+$0.66	$0.63 to $2.61	71%	59%
Safety Up	$225.10	38d	-$1.18	$-1.34 to $0.56	73%	63%
Reliable Up	$222.60	38d	-$0.28	$-0.37 to $1.54	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $168 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $8.70 / mid $8.82 · $2,610 this cycle

6.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$2,526

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$825

If assigned

-$97,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.10/share ($3,031 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $170.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$167.50	38d	+$1.82	$1.22 to $1.56	68%	54%
Up And Out	$170.10	38d	+$0.74	$0.10 to $0.42	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$170.10	38d	+$0.74	$0.10 to $0.42	70%	57%
Safety Up	$210.10	38d	-$7.94	$-10.90 to $-9.29	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-29 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.