MSTR @ $157.30

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-68.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,834 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $2.22 / mid $2.28 · $666 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,998

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$324

If assigned

-$96,834

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.31/share ($1,892 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $178.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	17d	+$3.01	$2.67 to $3.79	68%	53%
Up And Out	$182.70	17d	+$0.03	$-0.72 to $0.46	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$205.20	38d	+$0.08	$-1.34 to $0.77	82%	79%
Safety Up	$217.70	38d	-$1.88	$-3.65 to $-1.38	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$197.70	38d	+$1.49	$0.28 to $2.25	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $198 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,579 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $198 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.63 · $171 this cycle

25.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$513

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$122

If assigned

-$90,579

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.81/share ($2,344 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $200.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$197.50	17d	+$3.73	$4.41 to $6.13	68%	53%
Up And Out	$205.20	17d	+$0.72	$0.95 to $2.74	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$230.20	38d	+$0.96	$1.21 to $4.00	81%	76%
Safety Up	$230.20	31d	-$0.25	$-0.12 to $2.51	82%	78%
Reliable Up	$235.20	38d	-$0.02	$0.12 to $2.98	82%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $4.30 / mid $4.40 · $1,290 this cycle

4.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$3,870

Annualized

100%

EV / cycle

+$430

If assigned

-$99,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.69/share ($1,707 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $168.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	17d	+$2.71	$2.11 to $2.76	68%	53%
Up And Out	$170.20	17d	+$0.60	$-0.24 to $0.42	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$187.70	38d	+$0.81	$-0.99 to $0.37	80%	75%
Safety Up	$217.70	38d	-$3.17	$-5.96 to $-3.99	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$182.70	38d	+$2.43	$0.96 to $2.19	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $190 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,830 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $190 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $3.90 / mid $4.00 · $1,170 this cycle

20.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,132

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$572

If assigned

-$91,830

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.68/share ($3,803 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $194.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$190.00	38d	+$1.00	$0.32 to $1.70	68%	54%
Up And Out	$192.70	38d	+$0.66	$0.10 to $1.22	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$192.70	38d	+$0.66	$0.10 to $1.22	70%	57%
Safety Up	$207.70	38d	-$3.89	$-4.89 to $-3.75	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $215 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $84,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $215 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.80 / mid $1.92 · $540 this cycle

36.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$523

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$343

If assigned

-$84,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.81/share ($4,743 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $219.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$215.00	38d	+$1.21	$1.14 to $3.73	68%	54%
Up And Out	$220.20	38d	+$0.38	$0.21 to $2.33	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$220.20	38d	+$0.38	$0.21 to $2.33	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,155 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $168 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $8.65 / mid $8.82 · $2,595 this cycle

6.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$2,511

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$785

If assigned

-$97,155

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.15/share ($3,044 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $170.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$167.50	38d	+$0.82	$-0.16 to $0.37	67%	54%
Up And Out	$170.20	38d	+$0.32	$-0.47 to $-0.07	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$170.20	38d	+$0.32	$-0.47 to $-0.07	70%	57%
Safety Up	$210.20	38d	-$8.10	$-11.22 to $-9.52	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-29 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.