MSTR @ $153.97

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-69.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,346 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $2.18 / mid $2.23 · $654 this cycle

10.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,180

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$356

If assigned

-$98,346

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.88/share ($1,763 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $173.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	16d	+$2.99	$2.64 to $3.86	68%	53%
Up And Out	$176.03	16d	+$0.54	$-0.09 to $0.98	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$198.53	37d	+$0.27	$-1.04 to $0.81	82%	79%
Safety Up	$216.03	37d	-$2.01	$-3.69 to $-1.59	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$196.03	37d	+$0.95	$-0.25 to $1.56	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $192 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,109 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $192 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.51 · $141 this cycle

25.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$470

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$113

If assigned

-$92,109

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.34/share ($2,202 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $196.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$192.50	16d	+$3.74	$4.34 to $5.77	68%	53%
Up And Out	$201.03	16d	+$0.45	$0.55 to $2.01	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$228.53	37d	+$0.70	$0.78 to $3.06	83%	79%
Safety Up	$233.53	37d	-$0.28	$-0.27 to $2.01	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$238.53	37d	-$0.74	$-0.84 to $1.49	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,665 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $4.45 / mid $4.53 · $1,335 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,450

Annualized

117%

EV / cycle

+$486

If assigned

-$100,665

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.28/share ($1,584 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $163.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	16d	+$2.68	$2.03 to $2.70	68%	52%
Up And Out	$166.03	16d	+$0.25	$-0.77 to $-0.07	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$186.03	37d	+$0.25	$-1.73 to $-0.35	83%	79%
Safety Up	$206.03	37d	-$2.39	$-5.02 to $-3.22	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$178.53	37d	+$1.66	$-0.08 to $1.17	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,390 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $3.70 / mid $3.83 · $1,110 this cycle

20.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,110

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$566

If assigned

-$93,390

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.19/share ($3,656 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $188.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	37d	+$1.86	$1.41 to $2.68	68%	54%
Up And Out	$188.53	37d	+$0.46	$-0.05 to $1.07	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$188.53	37d	+$0.46	$-0.05 to $1.07	70%	58%
Safety Up	$198.53	37d	-$3.05	$-3.90 to $-2.83	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $210 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $86,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $210 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.60 / mid $1.67 · $480 this cycle

36.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$480

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$321

If assigned

-$86,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.29/share ($4,588 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $214.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$210.00	37d	+$2.31	$2.37 to $4.73	69%	54%
Up And Out	$213.53	37d	+$0.95	$0.94 to $3.09	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$213.53	37d	+$0.95	$0.94 to $3.09	70%	57%
Safety Up	$218.53	37d	-$0.98	$-1.14 to $0.95	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $8.00 / mid $8.15 · $2,400 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$806

If assigned

-$98,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.95/share ($2,984 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $168.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	37d	+$1.53	$0.85 to $1.30	68%	53%
Up And Out	$168.53	37d	+$0.11	$-0.63 to $-0.21	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$168.53	37d	+$0.11	$-0.63 to $-0.21	71%	58%
Safety Up	$206.03	37d	-$7.89	$-10.87 to $-9.18	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$166.03	37d	+$1.09	$0.40 to $0.82	69%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-30 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.