MSTR @ $156.29

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-68.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $172 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,581 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $172 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $2.23 / mid $2.30 · $669 this cycle

10.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,230

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$328

If assigned

-$97,581

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.09/share ($1,827 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $176.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$172.50	16d	+$2.94	$2.55 to $3.74	68%	53%
Up And Out	$178.71	16d	+$0.46	$-0.24 to $0.86	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$201.21	37d	+$0.02	$-1.48 to $0.48	82%	78%
Safety Up	$216.21	37d	-$2.07	$-4.01 to $-1.80	87%	86%
Reliable Up	$196.21	37d	+$1.18	$-0.10 to $1.73	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,341 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.58 · $159 this cycle

24.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$530

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$117

If assigned

-$91,341

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.55/share ($2,266 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $198.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	16d	+$3.68	$4.27 to $5.80	68%	53%
Up And Out	$203.71	16d	+$0.34	$0.32 to $2.17	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$228.71	37d	+$0.70	$0.62 to $3.41	82%	78%
Safety Up	$233.71	37d	-$0.21	$-0.34 to $2.44	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $162 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,885 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $162 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $4.55 / mid $4.65 · $1,365 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,550

Annualized

118%

EV / cycle

+$452

If assigned

-$99,885

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.49/share ($1,647 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $165.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$162.50	16d	+$2.64	$1.96 to $2.52	67%	52%
Up And Out	$168.71	16d	+$0.17	$-0.90 to $-0.20	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$186.21	37d	+$0.50	$-1.51 to $-0.15	81%	77%
Safety Up	$211.21	37d	-$2.81	$-5.68 to $-3.82	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$181.21	37d	+$1.46	$-0.38 to $0.85	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $188 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $188 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $3.90 / mid $4.05 · $1,170 this cycle

20.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,170

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$576

If assigned

-$92,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.57/share ($3,771 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $191.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$187.50	37d	+$1.00	$0.33 to $1.82	68%	54%
Up And Out	$188.71	37d	+$0.39	$-0.35 to $1.17	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$188.71	37d	+$0.39	$-0.35 to $1.17	68%	55%
Safety Up	$201.21	37d	-$3.67	$-4.75 to $-3.33	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $215 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $85,011 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $215 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.63 / mid $1.71 · $489 this cycle

37.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$489

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$323

If assigned

-$85,011

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.05/share ($4,816 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $218.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$215.00	37d	+$1.24	$1.25 to $3.88	68%	54%
Up And Out	$216.21	37d	+$0.60	$0.54 to $3.24	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$216.21	37d	+$0.60	$0.54 to $3.24	68%	55%
Safety Up	$221.21	37d	-$1.29	$-1.54 to $1.21	71%	59%
Reliable Up	$218.71	37d	-$0.08	$-0.21 to $2.40	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $168 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $8.10 / mid $8.32 · $2,430 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,430

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$781

If assigned

-$97,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.30/share ($3,089 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $171.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$167.50	37d	+$0.84	$-0.17 to $0.52	67%	54%
Up And Out	$168.71	37d	+$0.24	$-0.85 to $-0.13	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$168.71	37d	+$0.24	$-0.85 to $-0.13	68%	55%
Safety Up	$206.21	37d	-$7.98	$-10.98 to $-9.25	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-30 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.