MSTR @ $154.28

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-69.1%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,478 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $170 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.74 / mid $1.77 · $522 this cycle
10.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$1,958
Annualized
51%
EV / cycle
+$300
If assigned
-$98,478
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.25/share ($1,574 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $173.11.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$170.0015d+$3.04$2.76 to $3.7768%52%
Up And Out$175.7215d+$0.75$0.18 to $1.2273%63%
Ss Escape$203.2236d+$0.00$-1.25 to $0.5085%82%
Safety Up$215.7236d-$1.67$-3.20 to $-1.2489%87%
Reliable Up$198.2236d+$0.90$-0.20 to $1.4883%79%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,251 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $195 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.83 / mid $0.88 · $249 this cycle
26.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$498
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$226
If assigned
-$91,251
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.99/share ($2,697 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $199.38.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$195.0022d+$3.13$3.23 to $4.9269%53%
Up And Out$200.7222d+$0.75$0.70 to $2.3972%61%
Ss Escape$220.7236d+$0.33$-0.12 to $2.4880%74%
Safety Up$225.7236d-$0.76$-1.36 to $1.2782%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,845 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $160 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.85 / mid $3.92 · $1,155 this cycle
3.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$4,331
Annualized
114%
EV / cycle
+$426
If assigned
-$100,845
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.70/share ($1,410 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $163.21.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$160.0015d+$2.72$2.13 to $2.7068%52%
Up And Out$165.7215d+$0.44$-0.51 to $0.1474%64%
Ss Escape$188.2236d+$0.21$-1.69 to $-0.4184%81%
Safety Up$205.7236d-$2.04$-4.53 to $-2.8790%89%
Reliable Up$178.2236d+$2.23$0.75 to $1.8079%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $188 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,520 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $188 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $4.10 / mid $4.42 · $1,230 this cycle
21.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$1,025
Annualized
27%
EV / cycle
+$599
If assigned
-$92,520
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $210 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $86,451 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $210 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.83 / mid $2.14 · $549 this cycle
36.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$458
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$319
If assigned
-$86,451
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,815 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $165 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $8.95 / mid $9.27 · $2,685 this cycle
6.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$2,238
Annualized
59%
EV / cycle
+$823
If assigned
-$97,815
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-01 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.