MSTR @ $158.84

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-68.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,972 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.76 / mid $1.81 · $528 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,980

Annualized

51%

EV / cycle

+$234

If assigned

-$96,972

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.05/share ($1,516 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $178.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	15d	+$3.04	$2.79 to $3.75	67%	52%
Up And Out	$181.16	15d	+$0.70	$0.12 to $1.18	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$206.16	43d	+$0.44	$-0.82 to $1.11	82%	79%
Safety Up	$221.16	36d	-$1.64	$-3.17 to $-1.20	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$201.16	36d	+$0.98	$-0.09 to $1.64	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,371 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.47 · $129 this cycle

22.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$484

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$90

If assigned

-$91,371

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.13/share ($1,839 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $198.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	15d	+$3.68	$4.16 to $5.31	67%	53%
Up And Out	$203.66	15d	+$0.50	$0.47 to $2.03	73%	65%
Ss Escape	$231.16	36d	+$0.55	$0.43 to $2.71	82%	79%
Safety Up	$236.16	36d	-$0.20	$-0.44 to $1.97	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,390 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.70 / mid $3.78 · $1,110 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$4,162

Annualized

106%

EV / cycle

+$292

If assigned

-$99,390

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.56/share ($1,367 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $168.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	15d	+$2.74	$2.20 to $2.74	66%	52%
Up And Out	$171.16	15d	+$0.42	$-0.51 to $0.17	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$191.16	36d	+$0.38	$-1.43 to $-0.11	82%	78%
Safety Up	$216.16	36d	-$2.31	$-4.84 to $-3.05	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$181.16	36d	+$1.85	$0.27 to $1.45	76%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $3.50 / mid $4.10 · $1,050 this cycle

22.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$875

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$404

If assigned

-$90,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.88/share ($4,464 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $199.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	43d	-$2.14	$-3.61 to $-0.88	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$191.16	43d	+$0.47	$-0.65 to $1.77	65%	50%
Safety Up	$196.16	43d	-$1.82	$-3.13 to $-0.67	67%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $215 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $84,918 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $215 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.94 / mid $2.33 · $582 this cycle

35.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$485

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$305

If assigned

-$84,918

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $17.70/share ($5,311 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $219.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$215.00	43d	-$2.54	$-3.34 to $0.30	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$211.16	43d	+$0.24	$-0.20 to $3.15	65%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,615 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $7.95 / mid $9.12 · $2,385 this cycle

7.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$1,988

Annualized

51%

EV / cycle

+$401

If assigned

-$96,615

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.69/share ($3,506 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $173.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	43d	-$1.68	$-3.75 to $-2.56	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$166.16	43d	+$0.73	$-0.89 to $0.12	64%	49%
Safety Up	$186.16	43d	-$7.72	$-11.49 to $-9.43	75%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-01 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.