MSTR @ $160.45

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-67.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,897 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $2.01 / mid $2.04 · $603 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,584

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$341

If assigned

-$96,897

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.17/share ($1,551 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $178.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	14d	+$3.38	$3.10 to $4.01	68%	52%
Up And Out	$182.05	14d	+$0.60	$-0.16 to $0.94	75%	65%
Ss Escape	$204.55	35d	+$1.24	$-0.05 to $1.69	83%	79%
Safety Up	$224.55	35d	-$1.75	$-3.70 to $-1.54	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$204.55	42d	+$1.43	$0.01 to $1.91	81%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $198 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,630 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $198 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.43 · $120 this cycle

23.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$514

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$100

If assigned

-$90,630

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.43/share ($1,929 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$197.50	14d	+$4.21	-	69%	52%
Up And Out	$207.05	14d	+$0.62	-	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$242.05	35d	+$0.02	-	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,195 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $4.35 / mid $4.40 · $1,305 this cycle

2.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$5,593

Annualized

141%

EV / cycle

+$467

If assigned

-$99,195

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.65/share ($1,395 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $168.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	14d	+$3.04	$2.43 to $2.98	68%	52%
Up And Out	$172.05	14d	+$0.28	$-0.88 to $-0.11	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$194.55	35d	+$0.51	$-1.55 to $-0.15	84%	81%
Safety Up	$214.55	35d	-$2.09	$-4.90 to $-2.99	90%	90%
Reliable Up	$189.55	42d	+$2.13	$0.23 to $1.53	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,270 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $4.10 / mid $4.50 · $1,230 this cycle

21.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,054

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$549

If assigned

-$90,270

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.44/share ($4,332 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $199.11.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	42d	+$0.51	$-0.26 to $1.53	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$194.55	42d	+$0.73	$-0.02 to $1.80	68%	54%
Safety Up	$204.55	42d	-$3.71	$-4.96 to $-2.99	72%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $220 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $83,418 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $220 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.94 / mid $2.18 · $582 this cycle

37.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$499

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$346

If assigned

-$83,418

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $17.92/share ($5,375 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $224.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$220.00	42d	+$0.62	$0.65 to $3.57	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$219.55	42d	+$0.86	$0.91 to $3.83	68%	54%
Reliable Up	$222.05	42d	-$0.48	$-0.56 to $2.40	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $172 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $172 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $8.50 / mid $9.47 · $2,550 this cycle

7.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,186

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$675

If assigned

-$95,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.63/share ($3,488 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $176.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$172.50	42d	+$0.41	$-0.75 to $-0.06	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$172.05	42d	+$0.64	$-0.50 to $0.18	68%	53%
Safety Up	$202.05	42d	-$7.85	$-10.69 to $-9.10	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-02 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.