MSTR @ $169.28

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-66.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,035 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.55 / mid $1.59 · $465 this cycle

9.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,993

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$183

If assigned

-$94,035

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.69/share ($1,407 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $188.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	14d	+$3.31	$3.15 to $3.88	66%	52%
Up And Out	$193.22	14d	+$0.44	$-0.27 to $0.81	74%	67%
Ss Escape	$230.72	42d	+$0.16	$-1.34 to $0.62	86%	84%
Safety Up	$245.72	42d	-$1.20	$-2.98 to $-0.80	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$220.72	42d	+$1.70	$0.49 to $2.27	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $202 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,127 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $202 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.44 · $123 this cycle

19.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$527

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$82

If assigned

-$89,127

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.51/share ($1,653 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $205.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$202.50	14d	+$3.90	$4.54 to $5.28	67%	52%
Up And Out	$213.22	14d	+$0.21	$0.13 to $1.44	75%	68%
Ss Escape	$258.22	42d	+$0.20	$0.00 to $1.95	86%	85%
Safety Up	$263.22	42d	-$0.26	$-0.48 to $1.48	87%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.50 / mid $3.55 · $1,050 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,500

Annualized

108%

EV / cycle

+$220

If assigned

-$96,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.25/share ($1,275 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $178.64.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	14d	+$3.00	$2.51 to $3.10	66%	52%
Up And Out	$183.22	14d	+$0.17	$-0.86 to $-0.12	75%	68%
Ss Escape	$215.72	42d	+$0.10	$-1.95 to $-0.46	86%	84%
Safety Up	$235.72	42d	-$1.60	$-4.08 to $-2.30	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$200.72	42d	+$2.14	$0.48 to $1.75	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $210 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $85,905 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $210 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $3.65 / mid $4.28 · $1,095 this cycle

24.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$939

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$440

If assigned

-$85,905

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.21/share ($4,864 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $214.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$210.00	42d	-$1.39	$-2.80 to $-0.02	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$208.22	42d	+$0.60	$-0.40 to $1.97	67%	52%
Safety Up	$215.72	42d	-$2.53	$-3.78 to $-1.45	70%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $230 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $80,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $230 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.00 / mid $2.48 · $600 this cycle

35.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$514

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$300

If assigned

-$80,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $19.06/share ($5,717 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $235.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$230.00	42d	-$1.63	$-2.32 to $1.37	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$228.22	42d	+$0.57	$0.16 to $3.36	67%	53%
Safety Up	$233.22	42d	-$1.79	$-2.43 to $0.83	69%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $182 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $92,610 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $182 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $8.80 / mid $10.23 · $2,640 this cycle

7.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,263

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$634

If assigned

-$92,610

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.67/share ($3,801 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $186.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$182.50	42d	-$1.08	$-2.98 to $-1.79	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$180.72	42d	+$0.64	$-0.79 to $0.16	66%	52%
Safety Up	$213.22	42d	-$8.47	$-11.62 to $-9.80	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-02 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.