MSTR @ $158.62

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-68.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,502 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.66 / mid $1.69 · $498 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,490

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$284

If assigned

-$98,502

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.16/share ($1,249 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $173.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	13d	+$3.23	$2.82 to $3.62	67%	52%
Up And Out	$176.38	13d	+$0.70	$-0.11 to $0.97	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$211.38	41d	+$0.21	$-1.23 to $0.57	89%	87%
Safety Up	$216.38	41d	-$0.34	$-1.88 to $-0.02	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$201.38	41d	+$1.55	$0.32 to $1.97	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $188 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,654 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $188 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.33 · $96 this cycle

18.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$480

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$82

If assigned

-$93,654

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.01/share ($1,503 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$187.50	13d	+$3.84	-	67%	52%
Up And Out	$196.38	13d	+$0.52	-	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$248.88	41d	+$0.01	-	93%	91%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $162 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $162 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $3.50 / mid $3.58 · $1,050 this cycle

2.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$5,250

Annualized

134%

EV / cycle

+$388

If assigned

-$100,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.82/share ($1,147 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $165.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$162.50	13d	+$2.99	$2.39 to $2.90	67%	52%
Up And Out	$168.88	13d	+$0.46	$-0.55 to $0.14	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$198.88	41d	+$0.02	$-1.84 to $-0.56	88%	86%
Safety Up	$203.88	41d	-$0.39	$-2.30 to $-0.99	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$183.88	34d	+$1.82	$0.29 to $1.35	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $190 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $91,605 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $190 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $4.65 / mid $5.03 · $1,395 this cycle

19.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,021

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$803

If assigned

-$91,605

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $210 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $86,337 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $210 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $2.21 / mid $2.63 · $663 this cycle

32.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$485

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$500

If assigned

-$86,337

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,645 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $7.85 / mid $8.38 · $2,355 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,078

Annualized

53%

EV / cycle

+$704

If assigned

-$96,645

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.68/share ($3,204 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $173.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	41d	+$0.80	$-0.16 to $0.42	68%	53%
Up And Out	$171.38	41d	+$0.27	$-0.68 to $-0.12	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$171.38	41d	+$0.27	$-0.68 to $-0.12	69%	55%
Safety Up	$201.38	41d	-$7.58	$-9.81 to $-8.61	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-03 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.