MSTR @ $161.68

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-67.7%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,343 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $180 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $2.19 / mid $2.21 · $657 this cycle
11.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$1,792
Annualized
45%
EV / cycle
+$345
If assigned
-$95,343
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.54/share ($1,961 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $183.41.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$180.0018d+$2.84$2.55 to $3.6468%52%
Up And Out$185.8218d+$0.37$-0.21 to $0.8973%63%
Ss Escape$208.3239d+$0.42$-0.78 to $1.0582%78%
Safety Up$223.3239d-$1.97$-3.57 to $-1.4887%85%
Reliable Up$203.3239d+$1.57$0.54 to $2.3380%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,817 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $200 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.61 / mid $0.63 · $183 this cycle
23.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$499
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$134
If assigned
-$89,817
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.92/share ($2,375 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $203.86.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$200.0018d+$3.46$3.88 to $5.2769%53%
Up And Out$208.3218d+$0.07$-0.14 to $1.4674%64%
Ss Escape$238.3239d+$0.05$-0.56 to $2.1983%80%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,220 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $168 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $5.10 / mid $5.15 · $1,530 this cycle
3.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$4,173
Annualized
105%
EV / cycle
+$514
If assigned
-$98,220
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.74/share ($1,722 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $170.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$167.5018d+$2.48$1.84 to $2.3868%52%
Up And Out$173.3218d+$0.03$-0.91 to $-0.3674%64%
Ss Escape$190.8239d+$0.65$-1.11 to $-0.0681%77%
Safety Up$215.8239d-$2.94$-5.60 to $-4.0090%89%
Reliable Up$180.8239d+$3.30$1.96 to $2.8276%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $88,785 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $200 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $4.05 / mid $4.28 · $1,215 this cycle
23.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$935
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
+$635
If assigned
-$88,785
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $220 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $83,334 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $220 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $2.22 / mid $2.36 · $666 this cycle
36.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$512
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$418
If assigned
-$83,334
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,725 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $175 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $9.25 / mid $9.47 · $2,775 this cycle
8.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$2,135
Annualized
54%
EV / cycle
+$951
If assigned
-$94,725
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-05 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.