MSTR @ $165.40

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-66.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $182 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,521 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $182 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $2.43 / mid $2.45 · $729 this cycle

10.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,187

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$388

If assigned

-$94,521

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.16/share ($1,848 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $186.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$182.50	17d	+$3.06	$2.79 to $3.91	68%	52%
Up And Out	$189.60	17d	+$0.20	$-0.49 to $0.65	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$222.10	45d	+$0.33	$-1.06 to $1.02	85%	82%
Safety Up	$242.10	45d	-$2.07	$-3.90 to $-1.59	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$217.10	45d	+$1.24	$0.01 to $2.01	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $205 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $88,311 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $205 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.65 · $189 this cycle

23.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$567

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$147

If assigned

-$88,311

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.61/share ($2,284 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $208.51.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$205.00	17d	+$3.79	$4.52 to $5.92	68%	53%
Up And Out	$214.60	17d	+$0.09	$0.36 to $1.78	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$259.60	45d	+$0.09	$0.57 to $2.78	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$249.60	45d	+$1.44	$1.92 to $4.23	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $172 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,870 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $172 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $4.60 / mid $4.65 · $1,380 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$4,140

Annualized

102%

EV / cycle

+$506

If assigned

-$96,870

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.56/share ($1,669 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $175.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$172.50	17d	+$2.76	$2.22 to $2.85	68%	52%
Up And Out	$177.10	17d	+$0.82	$0.02 to $0.62	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$207.10	45d	+$0.43	$-1.50 to $-0.08	84%	81%
Safety Up	$227.10	45d	-$2.04	$-4.53 to $-2.80	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$192.10	45d	+$3.53	$2.09 to $3.25	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $88,905 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $3.65 / mid $4.05 · $1,095 this cycle

20.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,060

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$550

If assigned

-$88,905

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.53/share ($4,059 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $203.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	38d	+$1.85	$1.47 to $2.84	69%	54%
Up And Out	$202.10	38d	+$0.96	$0.50 to $1.87	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$209.60	45d	+$0.48	$-0.28 to $1.54	73%	63%
Safety Up	$219.60	45d	-$2.75	$-3.81 to $-1.94	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $220 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $83,469 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $220 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.77 / mid $1.94 · $531 this cycle

33.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$514

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$324

If assigned

-$83,469

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.06/share ($4,817 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $224.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$220.00	38d	+$2.22	$2.14 to $4.21	69%	54%
Up And Out	$222.10	38d	+$1.34	$1.15 to $3.17	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$229.60	45d	+$1.30	$1.00 to $3.65	73%	62%
Safety Up	$234.60	45d	-$0.48	$-0.90 to $1.71	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $178 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $178 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $7.70 / mid $8.55 · $2,310 this cycle

7.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,235

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$621

If assigned

-$94,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.94/share ($3,282 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $181.09.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$177.50	38d	+$1.48	$0.76 to $1.29	69%	53%
Up And Out	$179.60	38d	+$0.57	$-0.18 to $0.30	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$182.10	45d	+$1.53	$0.49 to $1.17	71%	59%
Safety Up	$222.10	45d	-$7.63	$-10.58 to $-8.99	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-06 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.