MSTR @ $167.94

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-66.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,834 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $2.22 / mid $2.24 · $666 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,998

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$301

If assigned

-$93,834

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.80/share ($1,740 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $188.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	17d	+$2.98	$2.79 to $3.55	67%	52%
Up And Out	$192.06	17d	+$0.29	$-0.40 to $0.61	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$227.06	45d	+$0.12	$-1.42 to $0.55	85%	83%
Safety Up	$247.06	45d	-$2.05	$-4.06 to $-1.75	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$212.06	38d	+$1.32	$0.11 to $1.81	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $205 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $88,311 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $205 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.65 · $189 this cycle

22.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$567

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$131

If assigned

-$88,311

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.99/share ($2,097 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $208.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$205.00	17d	+$3.61	$4.21 to $5.53	67%	53%
Up And Out	$214.56	17d	+$0.08	$-0.04 to $1.50	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$257.06	45d	+$0.31	$0.01 to $2.58	86%	83%
Safety Up	$262.06	45d	-$0.37	$-0.76 to $1.84	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$247.06	38d	+$0.12	$-0.17 to $2.28	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $96,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $4.30 / mid $4.32 · $1,290 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$3,870

Annualized

93%

EV / cycle

+$376

If assigned

-$96,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.25/share ($1,574 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $178.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	17d	+$2.69	$2.24 to $2.71	67%	52%
Up And Out	$182.06	17d	+$0.02	$-0.86 to $-0.26	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$212.06	45d	+$0.16	$-1.68 to $-0.41	85%	82%
Safety Up	$232.06	45d	-$2.09	$-4.46 to $-2.86	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$197.06	38d	+$1.59	$0.11 to $1.17	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $88,830 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $3.90 / mid $4.30 · $1,170 this cycle

19.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,132

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$540

If assigned

-$88,830

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.87/share ($4,162 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $204.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	38d	+$0.87	$0.08 to $1.66	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$207.06	45d	+$0.25	$-0.89 to $1.20	72%	61%
Safety Up	$217.06	45d	-$3.03	$-4.52 to $-2.34	76%	69%
Reliable Up	$202.06	45d	+$2.18	$1.19 to $3.23	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $220 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $83,466 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $220 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.78 / mid $2.07 · $534 this cycle

31.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$517

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$295

If assigned

-$83,466

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.47/share ($4,941 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $224.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$220.00	38d	+$1.04	$0.70 to $3.01	69%	54%
Up And Out	$222.06	38d	+$0.16	$-0.25 to $2.02	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$227.06	45d	+$0.84	$0.31 to $3.26	71%	60%
Safety Up	$232.06	45d	-$0.89	$-1.56 to $1.37	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,135 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $9.55 / mid $9.78 · $2,865 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,262

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$822

If assigned

-$93,135

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.72/share ($3,515 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $183.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	45d	+$1.51	$0.87 to $1.30	68%	54%
Up And Out	$182.06	45d	+$0.57	$-0.12 to $0.30	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$182.06	45d	+$0.57	$-0.12 to $0.30	69%	56%
Safety Up	$227.06	45d	-$9.28	$-12.24 to $-10.71	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-06 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.