MSTR @ $164.47

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-67.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,340 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $2.20 / mid $2.22 · $660 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,200

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$358

If assigned

-$95,340

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.69/share ($1,707 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $183.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	16d	+$2.86	$2.51 to $3.64	68%	52%
Up And Out	$185.53	16d	+$0.60	$-0.05 to $0.99	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$215.53	44d	+$0.71	$-0.73 to $1.21	84%	81%
Safety Up	$230.53	44d	-$1.06	$-2.53 to $-0.64	91%	89%
Reliable Up	$210.53	44d	+$1.59	$0.30 to $2.15	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,829 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.58 · $171 this cycle

21.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$570

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$135

If assigned

-$89,829

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.90/share ($2,071 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $203.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	16d	+$3.48	$4.05 to $5.41	68%	53%
Up And Out	$208.03	16d	+$0.26	$0.52 to $2.02	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$260.53	44d	+$0.11	$0.49 to $2.51	91%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $170 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,635 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $170 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $4.55 / mid $4.57 · $1,365 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,550

Annualized

112%

EV / cycle

+$490

If assigned

-$97,635

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.12/share ($1,537 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $173.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$170.00	16d	+$2.56	$1.93 to $2.45	67%	52%
Up And Out	$175.53	16d	+$0.32	$-0.68 to $-0.02	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$200.53	44d	+$0.79	$-1.24 to $0.13	83%	80%
Safety Up	$220.53	44d	-$1.80	$-4.17 to $-2.60	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$190.53	44d	+$2.53	$0.96 to $2.03	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,045 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $4.85 / mid $5.03 · $1,455 this cycle

18.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,180

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$847

If assigned

-$90,045

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.68/share ($4,103 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $198.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	44d	+$1.59	$1.10 to $2.14	69%	54%
Up And Out	$195.53	44d	+$1.33	$0.83 to $1.85	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$195.53	44d	+$1.33	$0.83 to $1.85	69%	54%
Safety Up	$210.53	44d	-$4.03	$-5.14 to $-4.07	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $225 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $81,741 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $225 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $2.53 / mid $2.69 · $759 this cycle

36.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$517

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$624

If assigned

-$81,741

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,130 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $7.90 / mid $8.35 · $2,370 this cycle

6.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,370

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$754

If assigned

-$95,130

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.35/share ($3,105 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $178.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	37d	+$1.17	$0.28 to $0.82	68%	53%
Up And Out	$178.03	37d	+$0.05	$-0.84 to $-0.35	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$180.53	44d	+$0.83	$-0.44 to $0.28	72%	60%
Safety Up	$220.53	44d	-$7.55	$-10.73 to $-8.97	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$175.53	44d	+$2.76	$1.65 to $2.35	69%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-07 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.