MSTR @ $152.70

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-69.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,249 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $168 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.67 / mid $1.69 · $501 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,879

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$291

If assigned

-$99,249

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.98/share ($1,494 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $170.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$167.50	15d	+$2.90	$2.66 to $3.59	68%	52%
Up And Out	$174.80	15d	+$0.01	$-0.66 to $0.29	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$204.80	43d	+$0.26	$-0.97 to $0.67	86%	83%
Safety Up	$219.80	43d	-$1.66	$-3.24 to $-1.29	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$194.80	43d	+$1.93	$0.92 to $2.40	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $182 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,109 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $182 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.48 · $141 this cycle

19.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$529

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$112

If assigned

-$95,109

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.83/share ($1,750 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $185.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$182.50	15d	+$3.40	$3.67 to $4.96	68%	52%
Up And Out	$189.80	15d	+$0.47	$0.20 to $1.92	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$224.80	43d	+$0.50	$-0.20 to $2.59	85%	83%
Safety Up	$229.80	43d	-$0.02	$-0.86 to $2.06	87%	84%
Reliable Up	$219.80	43d	+$1.51	$1.02 to $3.59	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $158 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $101,565 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $158 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.95 / mid $4.00 · $1,185 this cycle

3.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,444

Annualized

118%

EV / cycle

+$432

If assigned

-$101,565

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.45/share ($1,335 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $160.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$157.50	15d	+$2.59	$2.04 to $2.57	68%	52%
Up And Out	$162.30	15d	+$0.57	$-0.30 to $0.28	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$189.80	43d	+$0.18	$-1.77 to $-0.49	85%	83%
Safety Up	$204.80	43d	-$1.54	$-3.93 to $-2.35	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$179.80	43d	+$2.05	$0.47 to $1.55	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,435 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $3.55 / mid $4.47 · $1,065 this cycle

21.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$888

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$520

If assigned

-$93,435

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.68/share ($4,705 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $188.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	43d	-$0.86	$-2.03 to $0.10	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$182.30	43d	+$0.43	$-0.68 to $1.52	68%	51%
Safety Up	$187.30	43d	-$1.96	$-3.19 to $-1.08	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $205 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $87,780 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $205 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $2.40 / mid $2.52 · $720 this cycle

34.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$502

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$425

If assigned

-$87,780

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,740 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $9.20 / mid $9.32 · $2,760 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$1,926

Annualized

51%

EV / cycle

+$888

If assigned

-$97,740

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-08 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.