MSTR @ $148.22

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-70.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $162 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,818 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $162 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.44 / mid $1.46 · $432 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,620

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$230

If assigned

-$100,818

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.68/share ($1,403 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $165.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$162.50	15d	+$2.68	$2.46 to $3.35	67%	52%
Up And Out	$166.78	15d	+$0.87	$0.44 to $1.37	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$199.28	43d	+$0.06	$-1.04 to $0.52	86%	84%
Safety Up	$209.28	43d	-$1.08	$-2.36 to $-0.65	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$194.28	43d	+$0.79	$-0.19 to $1.36	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,362 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $175 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $138 this cycle

18.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$518

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$100

If assigned

-$97,362

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.36/share ($1,609 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $178.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$175.00	15d	+$3.08	$3.36 to $4.50	68%	52%
Up And Out	$181.78	15d	+$0.31	$0.04 to $1.42	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$216.78	43d	+$0.28	$-0.30 to $1.87	86%	83%
Safety Up	$221.78	43d	-$0.30	$-0.93 to $1.24	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$211.78	43d	+$1.03	$0.51 to $2.67	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $152 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $103,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $152 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.70 / mid $3.75 · $1,110 this cycle

2.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$4,162

Annualized

114%

EV / cycle

+$354

If assigned

-$103,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.16/share ($1,248 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $155.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$152.50	15d	+$2.38	$1.86 to $2.33	67%	52%
Up And Out	$156.78	15d	+$0.58	$-0.24 to $0.30	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$184.28	43d	+$0.07	$-1.78 to $-0.60	86%	83%
Safety Up	$199.28	43d	-$1.56	$-3.83 to $-2.36	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$169.28	36d	+$1.88	$0.50 to $1.42	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $178 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,655 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $178 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $3.65 / mid $3.90 · $1,095 this cycle

19.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$912

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$519

If assigned

-$95,655

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.84/share ($4,452 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $181.07.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$177.50	43d	-$0.70	$-1.84 to $0.29	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$174.28	43d	+$0.76	$-0.32 to $1.92	67%	50%
Safety Up	$184.28	43d	-$3.55	$-4.90 to $-2.77	73%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $195 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $90,927 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $195 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.91 / mid $2.06 · $573 this cycle

31.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$478

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$356

If assigned

-$90,927

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $17.61/share ($5,282 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $199.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$195.00	43d	-$0.83	$-1.56 to $1.29	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$191.78	43d	+$0.58	$-0.07 to $2.90	68%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,735 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $7.55 / mid $7.80 · $2,265 this cycle

7.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,888

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$727

If assigned

-$99,735

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.31/share ($3,692 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $163.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	43d	-$0.58	$-2.13 to $-1.14	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$156.78	43d	+$0.92	$-0.60 to $0.45	67%	49%
Safety Up	$176.78	43d	-$6.55	$-8.89 to $-7.53	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-08 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.