MSTR @ $151.62

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-69.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,984 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.72 / mid $1.73 · $516 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,211

Annualized

59%

EV / cycle

+$297

If assigned

-$99,984

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.71/share ($1,413 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $168.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	14d	+$2.71	$2.29 to $3.28	68%	52%
Up And Out	$170.88	14d	+$0.30	$-0.57 to $0.58	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$203.38	42d	+$0.19	$-1.39 to $0.50	86%	84%
Safety Up	$218.38	42d	-$1.47	$-3.41 to $-1.26	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$188.38	35d	+$1.34	$0.05 to $1.76	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,383 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.41 · $117 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$501

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$97

If assigned

-$94,383

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.81/share ($1,743 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	14d	+$3.34	-	68%	52%
Up And Out	$193.38	14d	+$0.16	-	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$233.38	42d	+$0.39	-	87%	84%
Safety Up	$233.38	35d	-$0.34	-	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $158 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $101,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $158 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.30 / mid $3.35 · $990 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$4,243

Annualized

113%

EV / cycle

+$395

If assigned

-$101,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.33/share ($1,298 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $160.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$157.50	14d	+$2.48	$1.86 to $2.60	68%	52%
Up And Out	$163.38	14d	+$0.10	$-0.97 to $-0.08	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$190.88	42d	+$0.29	$-1.56 to $-0.04	86%	83%
Safety Up	$205.88	42d	-$1.40	$-3.64 to $-1.88	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$175.88	42d	+$3.26	$1.91 to $3.14	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,180 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $4.40 / mid $4.55 · $1,320 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$943

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$646

If assigned

-$93,180

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,373 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.09 / mid $2.21 · $627 this cycle

31.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$537

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$476

If assigned

-$89,373

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.14/share ($4,842 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $204.11.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	42d	+$1.11	$0.83 to $2.97	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$198.38	42d	+$1.81	$1.54 to $3.81	69%	53%
Safety Up	$203.38	42d	-$0.40	$-0.78 to $1.23	71%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $97,875 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $8.75 / mid $8.93 · $2,625 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$1,875

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$887

If assigned

-$97,875

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-09 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.