MSTR @ $150.87

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-69.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $100,104 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.32 / mid $1.34 · $396 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$1,697

Annualized

46%

EV / cycle

+$217

If assigned

-$100,104

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.41/share ($1,324 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $168.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	14d	+$3.01	$2.82 to $3.54	68%	52%
Up And Out	$171.63	14d	+$0.37	$-0.35 to $0.56	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$204.13	42d	+$0.28	$-1.15 to $0.50	87%	84%
Safety Up	$219.13	42d	-$1.26	$-3.00 to $-1.13	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$194.13	42d	+$1.88	$0.73 to $2.32	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,886 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.40 · $114 this cycle

19.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$489

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$85

If assigned

-$95,886

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.19/share ($1,556 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $182.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	14d	+$3.54	$4.06 to $4.85	68%	52%
Up And Out	$186.63	14d	+$0.86	$0.70 to $2.06	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$229.13	42d	+$0.18	$-0.30 to $1.88	87%	85%
Safety Up	$234.13	42d	-$0.37	$-0.88 to $1.31	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $102,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $155 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.50 / mid $3.55 · $1,050 this cycle

2.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,500

Annualized

121%

EV / cycle

+$341

If assigned

-$102,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.93/share ($1,179 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $157.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	14d	+$2.68	$2.20 to $2.57	68%	52%
Up And Out	$161.63	14d	+$0.08	$-0.91 to $-0.23	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$189.13	42d	+$0.28	$-1.57 to $-0.28	86%	84%
Safety Up	$204.13	42d	-$1.32	$-3.56 to $-1.99	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$179.13	42d	+$1.99	$0.49 to $1.60	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $4.00 / mid $4.75 · $1,200 this cycle

19.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,029

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$596

If assigned

-$94,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.45/share ($3,736 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $183.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	42d	+$1.82	$1.42 to $2.39	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$179.13	42d	+$2.21	$1.83 to $2.87	69%	53%
Safety Up	$194.13	42d	-$3.58	$-4.49 to $-3.48	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,427 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.91 / mid $2.06 · $573 this cycle

32.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$491

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$363

If assigned

-$89,427

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.08/share ($4,525 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $203.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	42d	+$2.19	$2.15 to $3.96	69%	54%
Up And Out	$204.13	42d	+$0.35	$0.15 to $1.84	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$204.13	42d	+$0.35	$0.15 to $1.84	71%	58%
Safety Up	$209.13	42d	-$1.57	$-1.95 to $-0.28	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $162 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $162 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $7.80 / mid $8.07 · $2,340 this cycle

7.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,006

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$774

If assigned

-$98,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.35/share ($3,106 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $165.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$162.50	42d	+$1.53	$0.97 to $1.40	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$161.63	42d	+$1.92	$1.36 to $1.83	68%	52%
Safety Up	$196.63	42d	-$7.56	$-9.99 to $-8.59	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-09 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.