MSTR @ $154.25

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-69.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.70 / mid $1.71 · $510 this cycle

7.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,550

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$294

If assigned

-$99,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.17/share ($1,252 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $168.05.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	13d	+$2.75	$2.36 to $3.32	68%	52%
Up And Out	$170.75	13d	+$0.43	$-0.37 to $0.70	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$200.75	41d	+$0.50	$-0.95 to $0.79	86%	84%
Safety Up	$215.75	41d	-$1.18	$-2.96 to $-0.99	91%	89%
Reliable Up	$190.75	34d	+$1.08	$-0.20 to $1.39	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $182 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $95,151 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $182 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.34 · $99 this cycle

18.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$495

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$84

If assigned

-$95,151

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.04/share ($1,512 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$182.50	13d	+$3.33	-	68%	52%
Up And Out	$190.75	13d	+$0.12	-	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$228.25	41d	+$0.48	-	87%	84%
Safety Up	$233.25	41d	-$0.13	-	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $101,136 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $160 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.88 / mid $2.89 · $864 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$4,320

Annualized

114%

EV / cycle

+$384

If assigned

-$101,136

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.94/share ($1,182 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $162.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$160.00	13d	+$2.60	$2.02 to $2.73	68%	52%
Up And Out	$165.75	13d	+$0.29	$-0.75 to $0.15	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$195.75	41d	+$0.15	$-1.75 to $-0.18	87%	85%
Safety Up	$210.75	41d	-$1.41	$-3.64 to $-1.87	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$178.25	34d	+$2.10	$0.65 to $1.95	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $93,435 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $3.55 / mid $3.75 · $1,065 this cycle

19.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$940

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$519

If assigned

-$93,435

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.37/share ($4,011 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $188.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	41d	+$1.00	$0.38 to $1.96	69%	54%
Up And Out	$185.75	41d	+$0.64	$-0.01 to $1.57	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$185.75	41d	+$0.64	$-0.01 to $1.57	69%	55%
Safety Up	$195.75	41d	-$3.36	$-4.35 to $-2.77	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,394 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $2.02 / mid $2.17 · $606 this cycle

29.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$535

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$364

If assigned

-$89,394

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.42/share ($4,625 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $204.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	41d	+$1.15	$0.86 to $2.94	69%	54%
Up And Out	$200.75	41d	+$0.79	$0.47 to $2.55	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$200.75	41d	+$0.79	$0.47 to $2.55	69%	55%
Safety Up	$205.75	41d	-$1.35	$-1.85 to $0.07	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $98,115 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $165 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $7.95 / mid $8.20 · $2,385 this cycle

7.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,104

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$750

If assigned

-$98,115

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.86/share ($3,259 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $168.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	41d	+$0.82	$-0.11 to $0.45	69%	53%
Up And Out	$165.75	41d	+$0.45	$-0.50 to $0.07	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$165.75	41d	+$0.45	$-0.50 to $0.07	69%	54%
Safety Up	$195.75	41d	-$7.82	$-10.54 to $-9.07	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-10 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.