MSTR @ $151.66

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-69.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $168 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,177 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $168 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.91 / mid $1.96 · $573 this cycle

10.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,719

Annualized

46%

EV / cycle

+$322

If assigned

-$99,177

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.75/share ($1,726 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $170.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$167.50	17d	+$3.00	$2.67 to $3.80	68%	52%
Up And Out	$173.34	17d	+$0.51	$-0.16 to $0.96	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$195.84	45d	+$0.64	$-0.69 to $1.42	82%	79%
Safety Up	$210.84	45d	-$1.68	$-3.41 to $-0.99	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$190.84	45d	+$1.70	$0.53 to $2.49	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $185 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $185 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.54 · $150 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$450

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$118

If assigned

-$94,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.91/share ($2,072 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $188.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$185.00	17d	+$3.57	$3.84 to $5.47	68%	53%
Up And Out	$193.34	17d	+$0.22	$0.08 to $1.78	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$223.34	45d	+$0.20	$-0.08 to $2.82	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$218.34	38d	+$0.18	$-0.09 to $2.66	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $158 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $101,490 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $158 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $4.20 / mid $4.28 · $1,260 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$3,780

Annualized

101%

EV / cycle

+$460

If assigned

-$101,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.14/share ($1,542 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $160.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$157.50	17d	+$2.70	$2.14 to $2.62	68%	52%
Up And Out	$163.34	17d	+$0.23	$-0.71 to $-0.10	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$180.84	38d	+$0.24	$-1.52 to $-0.36	82%	78%
Safety Up	$205.84	45d	-$2.54	$-5.12 to $-3.41	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$175.84	38d	+$1.34	$-0.20 to $0.84	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $180 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $94,920 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $180 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $3.60 / mid $3.75 · $1,080 this cycle

18.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,045

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$549

If assigned

-$94,920

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.10/share ($3,630 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $183.65.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$180.00	38d	+$1.14	$0.59 to $1.88	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$183.34	45d	+$1.44	$0.70 to $2.45	71%	58%
Safety Up	$193.34	45d	-$2.35	$-3.54 to $-1.74	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $200 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $89,502 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $200 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.66 / mid $1.73 · $498 this cycle

31.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$482

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$328

If assigned

-$89,502

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.65/share ($4,394 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $203.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$200.00	38d	+$1.39	$1.28 to $3.03	69%	54%
Up And Out	$203.34	38d	+$0.33	$0.14 to $1.70	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$208.34	45d	+$0.17	$-0.12 to $2.17	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $162 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $99,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $162 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $7.00 / mid $7.65 · $2,100 this cycle

7.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,032

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$609

If assigned

-$99,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.07/share ($3,020 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $165.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$162.50	38d	+$0.94	$0.10 to $0.69	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$165.84	45d	+$0.90	$-0.26 to $0.55	71%	58%
Safety Up	$195.84	45d	-$6.85	$-9.51 to $-8.01	87%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-13 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.