MSTR @ $127.04

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-74.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $141 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $465,036 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $141 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.28 / mid $1.31 · $1,664 this cycle

11.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,131

Annualized

53%

EV / cycle

+$596

If assigned

-$465,036

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.33/share ($5,631 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $144.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$141.00	14d	+$2.65	$2.50 to $3.21	66%	53%
Up And Out	$146.96	14d	+$0.34	$-0.26 to $0.72	72%	64%
Ss Escape	$163.96	35d	+$0.44	$-0.62 to $0.91	81%	78%
Safety Up	$168.96	35d	-$0.68	$-2.04 to $-0.37	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$158.96	35d	+$1.05	$0.06 to $1.60	78%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $448,084 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $155 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.34 · $416 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$1,783

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$275

If assigned

-$448,084

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.05/share ($6,566 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $158.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	14d	+$3.12	$3.34 to $4.44	66%	53%
Up And Out	$161.96	14d	+$0.31	$0.09 to $1.27	72%	64%
Ss Escape	$182.96	35d	+$0.10	$-0.39 to $1.37	81%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $132 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $474,370 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $132 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.10 / mid $3.20 · $4,030 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$17,271

Annualized

127%

EV / cycle

+$495

If assigned

-$474,370

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.90/share ($5,066 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $135.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$132.00	14d	+$2.36	$1.90 to $2.47	66%	53%
Up And Out	$137.96	14d	+$0.10	$-0.76 to $-0.16	73%	65%
Ss Escape	$149.96	35d	+$0.49	$-0.97 to $0.06	79%	75%
Safety Up	$179.96	42d	-$2.31	$-4.70 to $-3.09	92%	92%
Reliable Up	$144.96	35d	+$2.01	$0.92 to $1.75	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $155 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $444,925 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $155 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.75 / mid $3.33 · $3,575 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,064

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$1,257

If assigned

-$444,925

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.10/share ($15,734 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $158.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$155.00	42d	-$0.78	$-1.73 to $0.11	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$152.96	42d	+$0.07	$-0.86 to $1.04	66%	52%
Safety Up	$157.96	42d	-$2.01	$-3.07 to $-1.18	69%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $433,342 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $165 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.66 / mid $1.92 · $2,158 this cycle

29.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$1,850

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$866

If assigned

-$433,342

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.49/share ($17,535 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $168.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$165.00	42d	-$0.85	$-1.56 to $0.65	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$157.96	42d	+$2.84	$2.42 to $4.73	64%	47%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $460,460 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $140 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $5.80 / mid $6.25 · $7,540 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$6,463

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$1,847

If assigned

-$460,460

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.16/share ($13,212 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $143.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	42d	-$0.67	$-2.02 to $-1.09	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$137.96	42d	+$0.19	$-1.11 to $-0.19	65%	51%
Safety Up	$152.96	42d	-$5.46	$-7.80 to $-6.36	76%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-30 21:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.