MSTR @ $130.34

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares1,300
Blended cost$500.00
Drawdown-73.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable13
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $144 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $460,525 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $144 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.75 / mid $1.77 · $2,275 this cycle
10.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$9,750
Annualized
70%
EV / cycle
+$1,073
If assigned
-$460,525
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.29/share ($6,877 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $147.83.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$144.0014d+$3.08$2.62 to $3.7268%53%
Up And Out$150.6614d+$0.14$-0.80 to $0.3474%65%
Ss Escape$168.6642d+$0.40$-1.28 to $0.6681%77%
Safety Up$178.6642d-$1.29$-3.35 to $-1.1085%83%
Reliable Up$163.6642d+$1.43$-0.06 to $1.7779%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $441,610 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $160 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.32 · $390 this cycle
22.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$1,671
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$288
If assigned
-$441,610
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.27/share ($8,154 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $164.09.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$160.0014d+$3.68$3.91 to $5.3168%53%
Up And Out$166.6614d+$0.66$0.44 to $2.0573%64%
Ss Escape$189.6635d+$0.06$-0.35 to $1.8683%79%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $136 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $468,195 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $136 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.85 / mid $3.90 · $5,005 this cycle
4.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$21,450
Annualized
154%
EV / cycle
+$1,554
If assigned
-$468,195
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.83/share ($6,277 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $139.71.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$136.0014d+$2.79$2.15 to $2.8968%53%
Up And Out$141.6614d+$0.30$-0.78 to $0.0474%64%
Ss Escape$155.6635d+$0.45$-1.31 to $0.0481%77%
Safety Up$180.6642d-$2.81$-5.77 to $-3.6891%90%
Reliable Up$150.6642d+$2.21$0.53 to $1.8777%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $437,840 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $160 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $3.20 / mid $3.42 · $4,160 this cycle
22.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$3,566
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$2,107
If assigned
-$437,840
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.57/share ($20,247 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $163.83.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$160.0042d-$1.40$-2.88 to $-0.5469%54%
Ss Escape$154.6642d+$0.70$-0.81 to $1.8766%48%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $420,056 (premium included).
Called-away odds12%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $175 CALL
11 Dec 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $1.88 / mid $2.33 · $2,444 this cycle
34.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
88%
Income / mo
$1,746
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$1,141
If assigned
-$420,056
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $457,405 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $140 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $8.15 / mid $8.35 · $10,595 this cycle
7.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$9,081
Annualized
65%
EV / cycle
+$3,270
If assigned
-$457,405
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.41/share ($16,133 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $143.16.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$140.0042d-$1.10$-3.04 to $-2.0969%54%
Ss Escape$134.6642d+$1.14$-0.85 to $0.2065%47%
Safety Up$154.6642d-$7.20$-10.36 to $-8.7678%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-31 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.