MSTX @ $12.62

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.0%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,146 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.51 · $54 this cycle
26.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$147
Annualized
47%
EV / cycle
-$3
If assigned
-$385,146
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.74/share ($523 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $16.81.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.0018d-$0.19$-0.58 to $-0.0769%55%
Ss Escape$16.8839d+$0.19$-0.32 to $0.3373%63%
Safety Up$17.3839d-$0.00$-0.56 to $0.1274%66%
Reliable Up$16.3839d+$0.41$-0.07 to $0.5771%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,955 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.53 · $45 this cycle
58.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$42
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$14
If assigned
-$383,955
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.04/share ($913 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $20.85.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0039d-$0.87$-1.21 to $-0.4869%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,587 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.71 / mid $1.01 · $213 this cycle
10.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$581
Annualized
187%
EV / cycle
+$40
If assigned
-$385,587
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.53/share ($458 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $14.67.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0018d-$0.10$-0.58 to $-0.2269%55%
Ss Escape$15.3839d+$0.04$-0.61 to $-0.1375%67%
Safety Up$17.8839d-$0.68$-1.49 to $-0.9181%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $19 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,174 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $19 CALL
11 Dec 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.79 · $126 this cycle
50.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$97
Annualized
31%
EV / cycle
-$0
If assigned
-$384,174
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,955 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.53 · $45 this cycle
58.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$42
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$14
If assigned
-$383,955
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.04/share ($913 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $20.85.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0039d-$0.87$-1.21 to $-0.4869%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,284 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.22 / mid $1.59 · $366 this cycle
14.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$343
Annualized
110%
EV / cycle
+$50
If assigned
-$385,284
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.21/share ($662 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $15.15.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.5039d-$0.40$-0.86 to $-0.6170%57%
Ss Escape$13.3839d+$0.10$-0.33 to $-0.0766%47%
Safety Up$16.3839d-$1.11$-1.71 to $-1.3976%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-02 22:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.