MSTX @ $9.87

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.2%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,533 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.76 · $117 this cycle
46.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$146
Annualized
60%
EV / cycle
+$22
If assigned
-$385,533
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.38/share ($713 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $15.33.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.5031d-$0.48$-0.94 to $-0.3869%58%
Ss Escape$13.6338d+$0.05$-0.39 to $0.2667%53%
Safety Up$14.6345d-$0.21$-0.73 to $-0.0371%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,302 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.48 · $48 this cycle
57.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$85
Annualized
35%
EV / cycle
+$7
If assigned
-$385,302
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.22/share ($666 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $16.39.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$15.5024d-$0.48$-0.82 to $-0.2169%56%
Ss Escape$15.6338d+$0.06$-0.33 to $0.4071%60%
Safety Up$16.1338d-$0.14$-0.56 to $0.1872%62%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $11 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,520 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $11 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.93 · $180 this cycle
11.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$540
Annualized
222%
EV / cycle
+$15
If assigned
-$386,520
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.29/share ($388 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $11.63.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.0017d-$0.08$-0.53 to $-0.2369%56%
Ss Escape$13.1345d+$0.07$-0.56 to $-0.1478%72%
Safety Up$16.1345d-$0.57$-1.34 to $-0.8285%83%
Reliable Up$11.6338d+$0.42$-0.12 to $0.2474%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $15 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,317 (premium included).
Called-away odds23%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $15 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.61 / mid $1.03 · $183 this cycle
52.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
77%
Income / mo
$144
Annualized
59%
EV / cycle
+$29
If assigned
-$385,317
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.02/share ($906 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $15.87.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$15.0045d-$1.00$-1.57 to $-1.0070%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $15 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,317 (premium included).
Called-away odds23%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $15 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.61 / mid $1.03 · $183 this cycle
52.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
77%
Income / mo
$144
Annualized
59%
EV / cycle
+$29
If assigned
-$385,317
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.02/share ($906 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $15.87.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$15.0045d-$1.00$-1.57 to $-1.0070%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,088 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.04 / mid $1.46 · $312 this cycle
21.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$302
Annualized
124%
EV / cycle
-$15
If assigned
-$386,088
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.22/share ($667 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $12.74.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0038d-$0.51$-1.03 to $-0.7370%58%
Safety Up$14.1345d-$1.04$-1.74 to $-1.3477%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-07 21:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.