MSTX @ $8.69

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $11 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,625 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $11 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.30 · $75 this cycle
26.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$281
Annualized
131%
EV / cycle
+$33
If assigned
-$386,625
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.00/share ($300 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.57.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.0015d+$0.07$-0.16 to $0.1368%56%
Ss Escape$13.3143d+$0.07$-0.29 to $0.1178%73%
Safety Up$14.3143d-$0.17$-0.56 to $-0.1480%77%
Reliable Up$12.8129d+$0.31$0.04 to $0.3778%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,935 (premium included).
Called-away odds6%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.27 · $15 this cycle
55.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
94%
Income / mo
$56
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$7
If assigned
-$385,935
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.23/share ($368 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $14.18.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.5015d-$0.01$-0.12 to $0.2867%55%
Ss Escape$15.8143d+$0.05$-0.18 to $0.3676%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,865 (premium included).
Called-away odds29%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.57 · $135 this cycle
15.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
71%
Income / mo
$506
Annualized
236%
EV / cycle
+$49
If assigned
-$386,865
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.91/share ($273 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.54.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0015d+$0.09$-0.19 to $0.0568%56%
Ss Escape$12.3143d+$0.07$-0.37 to $-0.0178%74%
Safety Up$14.3143d-$0.32$-0.84 to $-0.4284%82%
Reliable Up$11.8129d+$0.28$-0.05 to $0.2479%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,845 (premium included).
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.78 · $105 this cycle
55.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$88
Annualized
41%
EV / cycle
-$15
If assigned
-$385,845
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.40/share ($720 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $14.29.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.5043d-$0.70$-1.11 to $-0.6469%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,845 (premium included).
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.78 · $105 this cycle
55.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$88
Annualized
41%
EV / cycle
-$15
If assigned
-$385,845
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.40/share ($720 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $14.29.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.5043d-$0.70$-1.11 to $-0.6469%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,532 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.06 / mid $1.31 · $318 this cycle
20.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$265
Annualized
124%
EV / cycle
+$20
If assigned
-$386,532
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.87/share ($560 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $11.10.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5043d-$0.43$-0.83 to $-0.6170%59%
Safety Up$11.8143d-$0.78$-1.22 to $-0.9875%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.